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Pro League

Referee: K Van Damme

Mechelen

T U T U T

1–2

Full-time

Genk

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

1,3

2,3

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 14/13 matches

Win Ø 49%

29%

69%

Points per game

1,1

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

50%

77%

Both score Ø 60%

57%

62%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,2

2,2

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

0,59 xG 0,72

48% Possession 52%

5 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 10

2 Blocked shots 2

8 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 0

3 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mechelen 12. · Genk 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	13	9	3	1	+20	+13.3	30
2	Genk	13	9	2	2	+12	+15.4	29
3	Antwerp	13	8	4	1	+19	+4.1	28
4	Gent	16	7	6	3	+14	+0.3	27
5	Anderlecht	14	7	5	2	+16	+9.0	26
6	Cercle Brugge	17	6	4	7	-10	-4.7	22
7	St. Gilloise	13	5	6	2	+6	+8.2	21
8	Charleroi	14	6	3	5	+2	+3.0	21
9	Dender	16	5	6	5	-2	-5.9	21
10	Standard	13	5	3	5	-8	-7.5	18
11	St Truiden	17	4	4	9	-18	-7.7	16
12	Mechelen	14	4	3	7	-1	-3.1	15
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	14	2	7	5	-4	+1.9	13
14	Westerlo	14	3	3	8	-4	-1.8	12
15	Kortrijk	17	3	1	13	-25	-11.6	10
16	Beerschot VA	16	1	6	9	-17	-13.0	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	8	7	1	0	+13	+9.2	22
2	Gent	8	5	2	1	+14	+3.1	17
3	Standard	7	5	1	1	+4	-2.2	16
4	Anderlecht	8	4	3	1	+8	+3.7	15
5	Cercle Brugge	8	4	2	2	-1	+0.3	14
6	Club Brugge	5	4	1	0	+14	+9.6	13
7	Antwerp	6	4	1	1	+14	+5.5	13
8	Charleroi	7	4	1	2	+4	+4.3	13
9	St Truiden	9	3	4	2	-1	+0.4	13
10	St. Gilloise	5	4	0	1	+6	+8.5	12
11	Westerlo	8	3	2	3	+5	+8.8	11
12	Mechelen	7	3	2	2	+5	+0.9	11
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	8	2	5	1	+3	+3.5	11
14	Kortrijk	8	3	0	5	-5	-1.3	9
15	Beerschot VA	8	1	5	2	-1	-3.6	8
16	Dender	7	1	3	3	-1	-2.0	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	8	5	2	1	+6	+3.7	17
2	Antwerp	7	4	3	0	+5	-1.4	15
3	Dender	9	4	3	2	-1	-3.8	15
4	Anderlecht	6	3	2	1	+8	+5.3	11
5	Gent	8	2	4	2	+0	-2.9	10
6	St. Gilloise	8	1	6	1	+0	-0.3	9
7	Charleroi	7	2	2	3	-2	-1.2	8
8	Cercle Brugge	9	2	2	5	-9	-4.9	8
9	Genk	5	2	1	2	-1	+6.2	7
10	Mechelen	7	1	1	5	-6	-4.0	4
11	St Truiden	8	1	0	7	-17	-8.2	3
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	0	2	4	-7	-1.5	2
13	Standard	6	0	2	4	-12	-5.4	2
14	Westerlo	6	0	1	5	-9	-10.5	1
15	Beerschot VA	8	0	1	7	-16	-9.4	1
16	Kortrijk	9	0	1	8	-20	-10.3	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.