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Ligue 2

Referee: P Legat

Metz

S S U S S

1–1

Full-time

Paris FC

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Paris FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

4,3

Scored

1,8

2,3

Conceded

0,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 44%

50%

38%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

38%

53%

Both score Ø 46%

41%

50%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,6

1,2

Conceded

0,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%

17 Shots 4

8 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

6 Corners 0

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Metz 3. · Paris FC 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	33	18	14	1	+28	68
2	Bordeaux	32	17	8	7	+19	59
3	Metz	32	16	10	6	+23	58
4	Sochaux	32	15	7	10	+21	52
5	Caen	33	14	10	9	+7	52
6	Bastia	32	15	7	10	+4	52
7	Grenoble	32	13	8	11	+0	47
8	St Etienne	32	12	9	11	+2	45
9	Quevilly Rouen	32	11	11	10	+1	44
10	Paris FC	32	12	7	13	-1	43
11	Guingamp	32	11	9	12	-1	42
12	Rodez	32	10	10	12	-4	40
13	Pau FC	32	10	10	12	-8	40
14	Amiens	32	11	7	14	-9	40
15	Valenciennes	32	8	13	11	-6	37
16	Annecy	32	9	9	14	-13	36
17	Laval	32	10	4	18	-12	34
18	Dijon	32	7	10	15	-10	31
19	Nimes	32	8	5	19	-16	29
20	Niort	32	7	6	19	-25	27

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Caen	17	10	5	2	+14	35
2	Bordeaux	16	10	4	2	+15	34
3	Le Havre	16	9	7	0	+14	34
4	Bastia	16	10	2	4	+10	32
5	Sochaux	16	9	4	3	+17	31
6	Metz	16	8	6	2	+11	30
7	Grenoble	16	8	4	4	+3	28
8	Quevilly Rouen	16	6	7	3	+6	25
9	Valenciennes	16	5	10	1	+5	25
10	St Etienne	16	7	4	5	+2	25
11	Dijon	17	6	6	5	+1	24
12	Amiens	16	7	3	6	+0	24
13	Annecy	16	7	3	6	-2	24
14	Nimes	15	7	1	7	+2	22
15	Pau FC	16	5	6	5	-3	21
16	Laval	16	6	2	8	-1	20
17	Paris FC	16	5	3	8	-1	18
18	Guingamp	16	5	3	8	-2	18
19	Rodez	16	4	5	7	-8	17
20	Niort	16	5	2	9	-10	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	17	9	7	1	+14	34
2	Metz	16	8	4	4	+12	28
3	Bordeaux	16	7	4	5	+4	25
4	Paris FC	16	7	4	5	+0	25
5	Guingamp	16	6	6	4	+1	24
6	Rodez	16	6	5	5	+4	23
7	Sochaux	16	6	3	7	+4	21
8	St Etienne	16	5	5	6	+0	20
9	Bastia	16	5	5	6	-6	20
10	Grenoble	16	5	4	7	-3	19
11	Pau FC	16	5	4	7	-5	19
12	Quevilly Rouen	16	5	4	7	-5	19
13	Caen	16	4	5	7	-7	17
14	Amiens	16	4	4	8	-9	16
15	Laval	16	4	2	10	-11	14
16	Annecy	16	2	6	8	-11	12
17	Valenciennes	16	3	3	10	-11	12
18	Niort	16	2	4	10	-15	10
19	Dijon	15	1	4	10	-11	7
20	Nimes	17	1	4	12	-18	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.