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Ligue 2
Referee: G Paradis
1–1
Full-time
Valenciennes
T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Quevilly Rouen Valenciennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,5
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
0,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 34%
40%
28%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
36%
36%
Both score Ø 42%
36%
48%
Average goals
2,2
2,1
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%
9 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
11 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Quevilly Rouen 6. · Valenciennes 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 25 14 10 1 +24 52
2 Bordeaux 26 13 7 6 +15 46
3 Sochaux 25 13 5 7 +20 44
4 Metz 25 11 8 6 +13 41
5 Caen 25 10 9 6 +5 39
6 Quevilly Rouen 25 10 8 7 +4 38
7 Grenoble 25 10 8 7 +4 38
8 Bastia 25 11 5 9 -1 38
9 St Etienne 26 9 7 10 -2 34
10 Amiens 24 9 6 9 -1 33
11 Annecy 25 8 8 9 +0 32
12 Paris FC 24 8 7 9 -3 31
13 Guingamp 25 8 7 10 -4 31
14 Valenciennes 25 7 10 8 -5 31
15 Laval 25 9 4 12 -7 31
16 Pau FC 25 6 9 10 -10 27
17 Dijon 25 5 8 12 -8 23
18 Nimes 25 6 5 14 -14 23
19 Niort 25 6 5 14 -18 23
20 Rodez 25 4 10 11 -12 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Quevilly Rouen Valenciennes
1′
A. Grbić 0–1
M. Kaba
11′
🟨 Noah Diliberto
Half-time 0–1
50′
🟨 Julien Masson
56′
🟨 Ilyes Hamache
K. Sidibé 🔁
↦ J. Pendant
59′
64′
🟨 Mathieu Debuchy
80′
🔁 M. Picouleau
↦ J. Masson
80′
🔁 L. Nomel
↦ A. Boutoutaou
A. Bonnet 🔁
↦ G. Sangaré
84′
M. Camara 🔁
↦ L. Mafouta
84′
85′
🔁 U. Bonnet
↦ A. Grbić
1–1 M. Bangré
86′
93′
🔁 S. Ben Seghir
↦ I. Hamache
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Quevilly Rouen

4-3-3
1 N. Lemaître G
2 A. Sissoko D
15 S. Ben Youssef D
5 T. Cissokho D
24 J. Pendant D
17 G. Sangaré M
4 B. Pierret M
12 G. Gbellé M
7 M. Bangré F
9 L. Mafouta F
45 I. Soumaré F
Bench (7)
6 K. Sidibé
10 A. Bonnet
19 M. Camara
18 C. Diedhiou
13 Y. Boé-Kane
16 Y. Thuram-Ulien
29 A. Jung

Coach: O. Echouafni

Valenciennes

4-4-2
1 S. Bajić G
24 A. Linguet D
26 M. Debuchy D
39 Jonathan Buatu D
28 Q. Lecoeuche D
17 A. Boutoutaou M
8 N. Diliberto M
6 J. Masson M
20 I. Hamache M
21 M. Kaba F
77 A. Grbić F
Bench (7)
27 M. Picouleau
18 L. Nomel
11 U. Bonnet
29 S. Ben Seghir
37 M. Rabuel
16 H. Konaté
5 J. Berthomier

Coach: N. Rabuel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,86
U ✓
3,19
B
4,58
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,55
U2,5 ✓
1,49
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Paradis · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.