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Ligue 2
Referee: B Lepaysant
Laval
S T S
3–3
Full-time
Metz
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Laval Metz
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
0,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

66% Possession 34%
19 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 3
15 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match Laval 6. · Metz 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Guingamp 3 2 1 0 +5 7
2 Bordeaux 3 2 1 0 +4 7
3 Caen 3 2 1 0 +2 7
4 Bastia 3 2 0 1 +4 6
5 Metz 3 2 0 1 +4 6
6 Laval 3 2 0 1 +2 6
7 Amiens 3 2 0 1 -1 6
8 Le Havre 4 1 2 1 +5 5
9 Dijon 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Paris FC 3 1 2 0 +1 5
11 Nimes 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Valenciennes 3 1 1 1 -1 4
13 Grenoble 3 1 1 1 -2 4
14 Niort 3 1 0 2 -3 3
15 Quevilly Rouen 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Pau FC 3 0 2 1 -4 2
17 St Etienne 4 0 2 2 -7 2
18 Sochaux 3 0 1 2 -2 1
19 Rodez 3 0 1 2 -4 1
20 Annecy 3 0 0 3 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Laval Metz
21′
⚽ I. Niane 0–1
G. Mikautadze
24′
⚽ W. Mikelbrencis 0–2
L. Gueye
1–2 Z. Naidji ⚽
M. Baudry
33′
35′
⚽ M. Udol 1–3
G. Mikautadze
Half-time 1–3
D. Diaw 🔁
↦ Y. Baldé
46′
Jimmy Roye 🟨
56′
58′
🟥 Alexandre Oukidja
59′
🔁 M. Caillard
↦ A. Jallow
R. Ferhaoui 🔁
↦ J. Adéoti
60′
63′
🔁 K. N'Doram
↦ L. Gueye
K. N'Chobi 🔁
↦ G. Durbant
68′
2–3 Z. Naidji ⚽
R. Ferhaoui
75′
S. Nsimba 🔁
↦ M. Baudry
81′
81′
🔁 P. Yade
↦ G. Mikautadze
81′
🔁 F. Centonze
↦ W. Mikelbrencis
Anthony Gonçalves 🟨
87′
87′
🟨 Kévin N'Doram
91′
🟨 Marc-Aurele Caillard
3–3 D. Diaw ⚽
E. Seidou
92′
94′
🟨 Fabien Centonze
94′
🟨 Fabien Centonze
94′
🟥 Fabien Centonze
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Laval

5-3-2
16 A. Sauvage G
39 A. Gonçalves D
12 Y. Baldé D
23 Yohan Tavares D
3 M. Baudry D
25 E. Seidou D
27 J. Adéoti M
4 J. Roye M
5 J. Maggiotti M
9 G. Durbant F
24 Z. Naidji F
Bench (7)
15 D. Diaw
10 R. Ferhaoui
11 K. N'Chobi
21 S. Nsimba
18 R. Duterte
1 M. Hautbois
29 D. Sylla

Coach: O. Frapolli

Metz

4-2-3-1
16 A. Oukidja G
25 W. Mikelbrencis D
86 I. Traoré D
5 Fali Candé D
3 M. Udol D
8 B. Traoré M
19 H. Maïga M
20 L. Gueye M
36 A. Jallow M
9 G. Mikautadze M
7 I. Niane F
Bench (7)
30 M. Caillard
6 K. N'Doram
11 P. Yade
18 F. Centonze
77 Vagner
10 Y. Maziz
27 D. Jean Jacques

Coach: L. Bölöni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,79
🔒
U ✓
3,13
🔒
B
2,56
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,14
🔒
U2,5
1,68
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Lepaysant · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.