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Ligue 2

Referee: N Rainville

Caen

S T S S U

4–1

Full-time

Guingamp

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Guingamp

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,2

2,2

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,3

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

0,7

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

51% Possession 49%

19 Shots 13

9 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 5

4 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Caen 3. · Guingamp 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Guingamp	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Bordeaux	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Caen	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Bastia	3	2	0	1	+4	6
5	Metz	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Laval	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Amiens	3	2	0	1	-1	6
8	Le Havre	4	1	2	1	+5	5
9	Dijon	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Paris FC	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Nimes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Valenciennes	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Grenoble	3	1	1	1	-2	4
14	Niort	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Quevilly Rouen	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Pau FC	3	0	2	1	-4	2
17	St Etienne	4	0	2	2	-7	2
18	Sochaux	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Rodez	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Annecy	3	0	0	3	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Metz	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Guingamp	2	1	1	0	+4	4
3	Dijon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Bordeaux	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Bastia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Paris FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Amiens	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Caen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Valenciennes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Nimes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Quevilly Rouen	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Le Havre	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Pau FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Sochaux	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	St Etienne	2	0	1	1	-6	1
17	Laval	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Annecy	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Niort	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Rodez	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Laval	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Caen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Le Havre	2	1	0	1	+5	3
4	Bastia	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Guingamp	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Niort	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Amiens	2	1	0	1	-2	3
9	Paris FC	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Nimes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Dijon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	St Etienne	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Rodez	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Valenciennes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Grenoble	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Pau FC	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Quevilly Rouen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Annecy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Sochaux	1	0	0	1	-1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.