Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Valenciennes
Nancy
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 5–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Toulouse
|
22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | +26 | 42 |
| 2 |
Ajaccio
|
22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | +11 | 42 |
| 3 |
Sochaux
|
22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | +6 | 40 |
| 4 |
Paris FC
|
21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | +9 | 38 |
| 5 |
Auxerre
|
21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | +10 | 37 |
| 6 |
Le Havre
|
22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 34 |
| 7 |
Niort
|
20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | +4 | 31 |
| 8 |
Nimes
|
21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | +0 | 29 |
| 9 |
Dijon
|
22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | -1 | 29 |
| 10 |
Pau FC
|
21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | +0 | 28 |
| 11 |
Rodez
|
22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | -3 | 28 |
| 12 |
Guingamp
|
22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | -7 | 26 |
| 13 |
Amiens
|
22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | +5 | 25 |
| 14 |
Caen
|
22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | +0 | 25 |
| 15 |
Quevilly Rouen
|
22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 |
Bastia
|
22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | -1 | 24 |
| 17 |
Grenoble
|
21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | -10 | 22 |
| 18 |
Valenciennes
|
21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | -13 | 22 |
| 19 |
Dunkerque
|
21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -11 | 18 |
| 20 |
Nancy
|
21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -22 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Nimes
Valenciennes
Valenciennes
Guingamp
Sochaux
Valenciennes
Valenciennes
Paris FC
Ajaccio
Valenciennes
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.