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Ligue 2

Le Havre

S T U U U

2–4

Full-time

Bastia

U S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Le Havre Bastia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,0

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 29%

35%

22%

Points per game

1,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 28%

26%

30%

Both score Ø 41%

39%

43%

Average goals

1,7

1,9

Scored

1,0

0,9

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

13 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 7

7 Corners 3

12 Free kicks against 19

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Le Havre 6. · Bastia 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	24	13	9	2	+31	48
2	Paris FC	24	14	5	5	+15	47
3	Sochaux	24	12	8	4	+8	44
4	Ajaccio	24	12	6	6	+8	42
5	Auxerre	24	10	9	5	+9	39
6	Le Havre	23	8	11	4	+6	35
7	Niort	23	10	5	8	+4	35
8	Nimes	24	9	5	10	-2	32
9	Pau FC	24	9	5	10	-2	32
10	Guingamp	24	7	9	8	-6	30
11	Amiens	24	6	11	7	+7	29
12	Caen	24	7	8	9	+4	29
13	Dijon	24	9	2	13	-5	29
14	Rodez	24	7	8	9	-5	29
15	Quevilly Rouen	24	7	7	10	-11	28
16	Valenciennes	24	6	8	10	-10	26
17	Bastia	23	5	10	8	-1	25
18	Dunkerque	24	6	6	12	-10	24
19	Grenoble	23	6	4	13	-13	22
20	Nancy	24	3	8	13	-27	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	12	7	4	1	+20	25
2	Paris FC	12	7	4	1	+10	25
3	Ajaccio	12	7	3	2	+8	24
4	Pau FC	12	7	1	4	+7	22
5	Sochaux	12	6	4	2	+4	22
6	Niort	11	6	2	3	+7	20
7	Auxerre	12	5	4	3	+9	19
8	Amiens	13	5	4	4	+9	19
9	Bastia	12	3	9	0	+7	18
10	Le Havre	12	4	5	3	+2	17
11	Dijon	13	5	2	6	-1	17
12	Caen	13	5	1	7	+5	16
13	Guingamp	11	4	4	3	+1	16
14	Grenoble	11	5	1	5	+0	16
15	Nimes	12	4	3	5	-2	15
16	Rodez	11	3	5	3	+0	14
17	Quevilly Rouen	11	3	5	3	-2	14
18	Dunkerque	13	3	5	5	-3	14
19	Valenciennes	12	3	2	7	-8	11
20	Nancy	11	2	4	5	-11	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	12	6	5	1	+11	23
2	Paris FC	12	7	1	4	+5	22
3	Sochaux	12	6	4	2	+4	22
4	Auxerre	12	5	5	2	+0	20
5	Le Havre	11	4	6	1	+4	18
6	Ajaccio	12	5	3	4	+0	18
7	Nimes	12	5	2	5	+0	17
8	Valenciennes	12	3	6	3	-2	15
9	Niort	12	4	3	5	-3	15
10	Rodez	13	4	3	6	-5	15
11	Guingamp	13	3	5	5	-7	14
12	Quevilly Rouen	13	4	2	7	-9	14
13	Caen	11	2	7	2	-1	13
14	Dijon	11	4	0	7	-4	12
15	Amiens	11	1	7	3	-2	10
16	Dunkerque	11	3	1	7	-7	10
17	Pau FC	12	2	4	6	-9	10
18	Bastia	11	2	1	8	-8	7
19	Nancy	13	1	4	8	-16	7
20	Grenoble	12	1	3	8	-13	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.