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Ligue 2

Valenciennes

U U T S U

1–3

Full-time

Toulouse

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valenciennes Toulouse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 39%

26%

52%

Points per game

1,1

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

48%

57%

Both score Ø 57%

57%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,0

2,1

Conceded

1,3

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

7 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 5

4 Corners 4

6 Free kicks against 5

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valenciennes 16. · Toulouse 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	23	12	9	2	+29	45
2	Paris FC	23	13	5	5	+12	44
3	Ajaccio	23	12	6	5	+9	42
4	Sochaux	23	11	8	4	+6	41
5	Auxerre	23	10	8	5	+9	38
6	Niort	22	10	5	7	+6	35
7	Le Havre	23	8	11	4	+6	35
8	Nimes	23	9	5	9	+2	32
9	Pau FC	23	8	5	10	-3	29
10	Rodez	23	7	8	8	-3	29
11	Dijon	23	9	2	12	-4	29
12	Quevilly Rouen	23	7	7	9	-8	28
13	Guingamp	23	6	9	8	-7	27
14	Amiens	23	5	11	7	+5	26
15	Caen	23	6	8	9	+0	26
16	Valenciennes	23	6	8	9	-8	26
17	Bastia	23	5	10	8	-1	25
18	Grenoble	22	6	4	12	-11	22
19	Dunkerque	23	5	6	12	-12	21
20	Nancy	23	3	7	13	-27	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	12	7	4	1	+20	25
2	Ajaccio	11	7	3	1	+9	24
3	Pau FC	12	7	1	4	+7	22
4	Paris FC	11	6	4	1	+7	22
5	Sochaux	12	6	4	2	+4	22
6	Niort	11	6	2	3	+7	20
7	Auxerre	11	5	3	3	+9	18
8	Bastia	12	3	9	0	+7	18
9	Le Havre	12	4	5	3	+2	17
10	Dijon	12	5	2	5	+0	17
11	Amiens	12	4	4	4	+7	16
12	Grenoble	10	5	1	4	+2	16
13	Guingamp	11	4	4	3	+1	16
14	Nimes	12	4	3	5	-2	15
15	Rodez	11	3	5	3	+0	14
16	Quevilly Rouen	11	3	5	3	-2	14
17	Caen	12	4	1	7	+1	13
18	Dunkerque	12	2	5	5	-5	11
19	Valenciennes	11	3	2	6	-6	11
20	Nancy	11	2	4	5	-11	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	12	7	1	4	+5	22
2	Toulouse	11	5	5	1	+9	20
3	Auxerre	12	5	5	2	+0	20
4	Sochaux	11	5	4	2	+2	19
5	Le Havre	11	4	6	1	+4	18
6	Ajaccio	12	5	3	4	+0	18
7	Nimes	11	5	2	4	+4	17
8	Niort	11	4	3	4	-1	15
9	Valenciennes	12	3	6	3	-2	15
10	Rodez	12	4	3	5	-3	15
11	Quevilly Rouen	12	4	2	6	-6	14
12	Caen	11	2	7	2	-1	13
13	Dijon	11	4	0	7	-4	12
14	Guingamp	12	2	5	5	-8	11
15	Amiens	11	1	7	3	-2	10
16	Dunkerque	11	3	1	7	-7	10
17	Bastia	11	2	1	8	-8	7
18	Pau FC	11	1	4	6	-10	7
19	Grenoble	12	1	3	8	-13	6
20	Nancy	12	1	3	8	-16	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.