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Ligue 2

Toulouse

U S U S U

4–1

Full-time

Dijon

U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Dijon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

This season — Ligue 2 · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 46%

50%

41%

Points per game

1,9

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

55%

50%

Both score Ø 53%

55%

50%

Average goals

2,9

2,6

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

0,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

15 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 4

4 Corners 5

12 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Toulouse 1. · Dijon 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	22	11	9	2	+26	42
2	Ajaccio	22	12	6	4	+11	42
3	Paris FC	22	12	5	5	+10	41
4	Sochaux	22	11	7	4	+6	40
5	Auxerre	22	10	7	5	+9	37
6	Niort	21	10	4	7	+6	34
7	Le Havre	22	8	10	4	+6	34
8	Nimes	22	9	5	8	+3	32
9	Dijon	22	9	2	11	-1	29
10	Pau FC	22	8	4	10	-3	28
11	Rodez	22	7	7	8	-3	28
12	Guingamp	22	6	8	8	-7	26
13	Amiens	22	5	10	7	+5	25
14	Caen	22	6	7	9	+0	25
15	Valenciennes	22	6	7	9	-8	25
16	Quevilly Rouen	22	6	7	9	-9	25
17	Bastia	22	5	9	8	-1	24
18	Grenoble	21	6	4	11	-10	22
19	Dunkerque	22	4	6	12	-13	18
20	Nancy	22	3	6	13	-27	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajaccio	11	7	3	1	+9	24
2	Toulouse	11	6	4	1	+17	22
3	Pau FC	12	7	1	4	+7	22
4	Sochaux	11	6	3	2	+4	21
5	Niort	10	6	1	3	+7	19
6	Paris FC	10	5	4	1	+5	19
7	Auxerre	11	5	3	3	+9	18
8	Bastia	11	3	8	0	+7	17
9	Le Havre	12	4	5	3	+2	17
10	Dijon	12	5	2	5	+0	17
11	Amiens	12	4	4	4	+7	16
12	Grenoble	10	5	1	4	+2	16
13	Guingamp	10	4	3	3	+1	15
14	Nimes	11	4	3	4	-1	15
15	Caen	12	4	1	7	+1	13
16	Rodez	10	3	4	3	+0	13
17	Quevilly Rouen	10	2	5	3	-3	11
18	Dunkerque	12	2	5	5	-5	11
19	Valenciennes	11	3	2	6	-6	11
20	Nancy	10	2	3	5	-11	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	12	7	1	4	+5	22
2	Toulouse	11	5	5	1	+9	20
3	Sochaux	11	5	4	2	+2	19
4	Auxerre	11	5	4	2	+0	19
5	Ajaccio	11	5	3	3	+2	18
6	Nimes	11	5	2	4	+4	17
7	Le Havre	10	4	5	1	+4	17
8	Niort	11	4	3	4	-1	15
9	Rodez	12	4	3	5	-3	15
10	Valenciennes	11	3	5	3	-2	14
11	Quevilly Rouen	12	4	2	6	-6	14
12	Caen	10	2	6	2	-1	12
13	Dijon	10	4	0	6	-1	12
14	Guingamp	12	2	5	5	-8	11
15	Amiens	10	1	6	3	-2	9
16	Dunkerque	10	2	1	7	-8	7
17	Bastia	11	2	1	8	-8	7
18	Pau FC	10	1	3	6	-10	6
19	Grenoble	11	1	3	7	-12	6
20	Nancy	12	1	3	8	-16	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.