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Ligue 2

Toulouse

U U U S T

1–1

Full-time

Rodez

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Rodez

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

3,7

1,7

Scored

2,5

1,3

Conceded

1,2

0,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,0

This season — Ligue 2 · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 47%

53%

41%

Points per game

1,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

59%

29%

Both score Ø 41%

53%

29%

Average goals

3,1

2,1

Scored

2,2

1,1

Conceded

0,9

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

13 Shots 7

1 Shots on target 0

7 Corners 0

23 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Toulouse 2. · Rodez 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajaccio	18	10	5	3	+11	35
2	Toulouse	17	9	6	2	+21	33
3	Auxerre	18	9	6	3	+10	33
4	Paris FC	18	10	3	5	+8	33
5	Sochaux	18	9	5	4	+4	32
6	Le Havre	18	7	8	3	+6	29
7	Rodez	17	7	4	6	+3	25
8	Niort	18	7	4	7	-1	25
9	Pau FC	18	7	3	8	-1	24
10	Nimes	18	6	5	7	-1	23
11	Quevilly Rouen	18	6	5	7	-5	23
12	Amiens	18	4	9	5	+4	21
13	Caen	18	5	6	7	+1	21
14	Guingamp	18	5	6	7	-5	21
15	Grenoble	18	6	3	9	-8	21
16	Dijon	18	6	2	10	-6	20
17	Valenciennes	18	5	5	8	-12	20
18	Bastia	18	4	7	7	-3	19
19	Dunkerque	18	4	4	10	-10	16
20	Nancy	18	2	6	10	-16	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajaccio	9	6	2	1	+8	20
2	Pau FC	10	6	1	3	+6	19
3	Auxerre	9	5	3	1	+11	18
4	Toulouse	8	5	2	1	+13	17
5	Sochaux	9	5	2	2	+3	17
6	Grenoble	9	5	1	3	+3	16
7	Le Havre	10	4	4	2	+3	16
8	Paris FC	8	4	3	1	+4	15
9	Dijon	10	4	2	4	+0	14
10	Amiens	10	3	4	3	+5	13
11	Bastia	9	2	7	0	+4	13
12	Niort	8	4	1	3	+2	13
13	Rodez	8	3	3	2	+2	12
14	Nimes	9	3	3	3	-1	12
15	Guingamp	8	3	2	3	+0	11
16	Caen	10	3	1	6	+1	10
17	Quevilly Rouen	8	2	3	3	-3	9
18	Dunkerque	10	2	3	5	-5	9
19	Valenciennes	9	2	1	6	-11	7
20	Nancy	8	1	3	4	-9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	10	6	0	4	+4	18
2	Toulouse	9	4	4	1	+8	16
3	Ajaccio	9	4	3	2	+3	15
4	Sochaux	9	4	3	2	+1	15
5	Auxerre	9	4	3	2	-1	15
6	Quevilly Rouen	10	4	2	4	-2	14
7	Le Havre	8	3	4	1	+3	13
8	Rodez	9	4	1	4	+1	13
9	Valenciennes	9	3	4	2	-1	13
10	Niort	10	3	3	4	-3	12
11	Nimes	9	3	2	4	+0	11
12	Caen	8	2	5	1	+0	11
13	Guingamp	10	2	4	4	-5	10
14	Amiens	8	1	5	2	-1	8
15	Dunkerque	8	2	1	5	-5	7
16	Dijon	8	2	0	6	-6	6
17	Nancy	10	1	3	6	-7	6
18	Bastia	9	2	0	7	-7	6
19	Pau FC	8	1	2	5	-7	5
20	Grenoble	9	1	2	6	-11	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.