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LaLiga2
Girona
S S S U T
3–0
Full-time
Ponferradina
U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Girona Ponferradina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 44%
44%
44%
Points per game
1,5
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
52%
40%
Both score Ø 58%
60%
56%
Average goals
2,4
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

10 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 2
1 Corners 2
9 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Girona 7. · Ponferradina 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Almeria 26 15 4 7 +20 49
2 Eibar 25 14 7 4 +11 49
3 Valladolid 25 14 5 6 +12 47
4 Tenerife 25 13 6 6 +16 45
5 Ponferradina 25 11 8 6 +8 41
6 Cartagena 25 12 3 10 +1 39
7 Girona 25 11 5 9 +5 38
8 Oviedo 25 8 12 5 +4 36
9 Las Palmas 25 9 9 7 +2 36
10 Ibiza 26 8 11 7 +4 35
11 Burgos 26 10 5 11 +4 35
12 Lugo 26 7 14 5 +3 35
13 Sp Gijon 25 8 8 9 -3 32
14 Malaga 26 8 8 10 -15 32
15 Huesca 25 7 9 9 +2 30
16 Mirandes 25 8 6 11 -2 30
17 Zaragoza 26 5 15 6 -6 30
18 Leganes 25 7 8 10 -4 29
19 Amorebieta 25 4 12 9 -7 24
20 Fuenlabrada 25 4 11 10 -11 23
21 Sociedad B 26 4 8 14 -13 20
22 Alcorcon 26 2 6 18 -31 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,91
U
3,28
B
4,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,21
U2,5
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.