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Süper Lig

Referee: A Palabıyık

Karagumruk

U T S T T

1–0

Full-time

Yeni Malatyaspor

U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Yeni Malatyaspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

0,8

0,7

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,8

This season — Süper Lig · 23/22 matches

Win Ø 27%

35%

18%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

48%

36%

Both score Ø 44%

52%

36%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,6

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,9

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%

15 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Karagumruk 12. · Yeni Malatyaspor 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	23	16	6	1	+24	54
2	Konyaspor	23	14	6	3	+19	48
3	Alanyaspor	23	11	5	7	+8	38
4	Ad. Demirspor	23	10	7	6	+10	37
5	Fenerbahce	23	10	7	6	+8	37
6	Besiktas	23	10	6	7	+4	36
7	Hatayspor	24	11	3	10	-3	36
8	Gaziantep	23	10	5	8	+3	35
9	Buyuksehyr	22	10	4	8	+8	34
10	Kayserispor	24	9	7	8	+0	34
11	Sivasspor	24	7	10	7	+2	31
12	Karagumruk	23	8	6	9	-7	30
13	Kasimpasa	23	7	6	10	-1	27
14	Goztep	23	7	6	10	-3	27
15	Galatasaray	23	7	6	10	-5	27
16	Giresunspor	24	7	5	12	-4	26
17	Antalyaspor	23	6	6	11	-11	24
18	Rizespor	23	6	4	13	-18	22
19	Altay	23	5	3	15	-14	18
20	Yeni Malatyaspor	22	4	4	14	-20	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Konyaspor	13	9	3	1	+12	30
2	Gaziantep	11	9	2	0	+17	29
3	Kayserispor	12	8	3	1	+13	27
4	Trabzonspor	11	7	4	0	+12	25
5	Besiktas	11	8	1	2	+8	25
6	Buyuksehyr	11	7	1	3	+8	22
7	Ad. Demirspor	11	6	3	2	+12	21
8	Fenerbahce	11	6	3	2	+9	21
9	Hatayspor	11	6	2	3	+6	20
10	Rizespor	12	6	2	4	+3	20
11	Antalyaspor	12	5	4	3	+4	19
12	Alanyaspor	11	5	3	3	+8	18
13	Kasimpasa	12	5	3	4	+4	18
14	Sivasspor	12	3	8	1	+8	17
15	Galatasaray	12	5	2	5	+1	17
16	Karagumruk	11	4	4	3	+3	16
17	Goztep	12	4	2	6	-1	14
18	Giresunspor	12	4	2	6	-2	14
19	Altay	11	3	1	7	-5	10
20	Yeni Malatyaspor	12	2	3	7	-12	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Trabzonspor	12	9	2	1	+12	29
2	Alanyaspor	12	6	2	4	+0	20
3	Konyaspor	10	5	3	2	+7	18
4	Fenerbahce	12	4	4	4	-1	16
5	Ad. Demirspor	12	4	4	4	-2	16
6	Hatayspor	13	5	1	7	-9	16
7	Sivasspor	12	4	2	6	-6	14
8	Karagumruk	12	4	2	6	-10	14
9	Goztep	11	3	4	4	-2	13
10	Buyuksehyr	11	3	3	5	+0	12
11	Giresunspor	12	3	3	6	-2	12
12	Besiktas	12	2	5	5	-4	11
13	Galatasaray	11	2	4	5	-6	10
14	Kasimpasa	11	2	3	6	-5	9
15	Altay	12	2	2	8	-9	8
16	Yeni Malatyaspor	10	2	1	7	-8	7
17	Kayserispor	12	1	4	7	-13	7
18	Gaziantep	12	1	3	8	-14	6
19	Antalyaspor	11	1	2	8	-15	5
20	Rizespor	11	0	2	9	-21	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.