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La Liga

Referee: Mario Melero

Elche

T U S S U

3–1

Full-time

Alaves

T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

1,3

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,7

This season — La Liga · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 21%

23%

18%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

50%

36%

Both score Ø 50%

59%

41%

Average goals

2,4

2,3

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%

14 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 3

3 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elche 16. · Alaves 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	22	15	5	2	+27	50
2	Sevilla	22	13	7	2	+18	46
3	Betis	22	12	4	6	+16	40
4	Ath Madrid	21	10	6	5	+10	36
5	Barcelona	21	9	8	4	+9	35
6	Sociedad	21	9	7	5	+1	34
7	Villarreal	22	8	8	6	+13	32
8	Vallecano	21	9	4	8	+5	31
9	Ath Bilbao	22	7	10	5	+4	31
10	Valencia	22	7	8	7	-1	29
11	Osasuna	22	7	7	8	-5	28
12	Celta	22	7	6	9	+1	27
13	Espanol	22	7	6	9	-4	27
14	Getafe	23	6	7	10	-3	25
15	Granada	22	5	9	8	-7	24
16	Elche	22	5	8	9	-7	23
17	Mallorca	21	4	8	9	-16	20
18	Cadiz	22	3	9	10	-17	18
19	Alaves	22	4	5	13	-19	17
20	Levante	22	1	8	13	-25	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	11	8	3	0	+14	27
2	Vallecano	11	8	2	1	+15	26
3	Real Madrid	11	7	4	0	+16	25
4	Villarreal	12	7	3	2	+16	24
5	Ath Madrid	10	6	3	1	+9	21
6	Betis	11	6	2	3	+11	20
7	Barcelona	10	6	2	2	+8	20
8	Getafe	12	6	2	4	+6	20
9	Espanol	11	6	2	3	+3	20
10	Sociedad	11	5	4	2	+1	19
11	Valencia	11	4	5	2	+5	17
12	Granada	11	4	3	4	-1	15
13	Ath Bilbao	10	4	2	4	+1	14
14	Elche	10	3	5	2	+0	14
15	Mallorca	10	2	6	2	+0	12
16	Alaves	12	3	3	6	-6	12
17	Celta	11	3	2	6	-2	11
18	Osasuna	11	2	5	4	-6	11
19	Levante	11	1	6	4	-6	9
20	Cadiz	11	0	6	5	-9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	11	8	1	2	+11	25
2	Betis	11	6	2	3	+5	20
3	Sevilla	11	5	4	2	+4	19
4	Ath Bilbao	12	3	8	1	+3	17
5	Osasuna	11	5	2	4	+1	17
6	Celta	11	4	4	3	+3	16
7	Ath Madrid	11	4	3	4	+1	15
8	Barcelona	11	3	6	2	+1	15
9	Sociedad	10	4	3	3	+0	15
10	Valencia	11	3	3	5	-6	12
11	Cadiz	11	3	3	5	-8	12
12	Granada	11	1	6	4	-6	9
13	Elche	12	2	3	7	-7	9
14	Villarreal	10	1	5	4	-3	8
15	Mallorca	11	2	2	7	-16	8
16	Espanol	11	1	4	6	-7	7
17	Getafe	11	0	5	6	-9	5
18	Vallecano	10	1	2	7	-10	5
19	Alaves	10	1	2	7	-13	5
20	Levante	11	0	2	9	-19	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.