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Ligue 2

Toulouse

U S T U S

1–1

Full-time

Pau FC

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Pau FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 19/20 matches

Win Ø 47%

53%

40%

Points per game

1,9

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

58%

45%

Both score Ø 49%

58%

40%

Average goals

3,1

2,3

Scored

2,1

1,2

Conceded

0,9

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

25 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 3

10 Corners 1

12 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Toulouse 2. · Pau FC 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajaccio	19	11	5	3	+12	38
2	Toulouse	19	10	7	2	+22	37
3	Auxerre	20	10	6	4	+10	36
4	Paris FC	19	11	3	5	+9	36
5	Sochaux	20	10	6	4	+5	36
6	Le Havre	20	8	8	4	+6	32
7	Niort	19	8	4	7	+2	28
8	Pau FC	20	8	3	9	+0	27
9	Rodez	20	7	6	7	-1	27
10	Nimes	20	7	5	8	-1	26
11	Guingamp	20	6	7	7	-4	25
12	Quevilly Rouen	20	6	6	8	-8	24
13	Bastia	20	5	8	7	+0	23
14	Dijon	20	7	2	11	-4	23
15	Caen	19	5	7	7	+1	22
16	Valenciennes	20	5	7	8	-12	22
17	Amiens	19	4	9	6	+3	21
18	Grenoble	20	6	3	11	-10	21
19	Dunkerque	19	4	4	11	-11	16
20	Nancy	19	2	6	11	-19	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajaccio	10	7	2	1	+9	23
2	Pau FC	11	7	1	3	+10	22
3	Toulouse	9	5	3	1	+13	18
4	Auxerre	10	5	3	2	+10	18
5	Paris FC	9	5	3	1	+5	18
6	Sochaux	10	5	3	2	+3	18
7	Bastia	10	3	7	0	+7	16
8	Niort	9	5	1	3	+5	16
9	Grenoble	10	5	1	4	+2	16
10	Le Havre	11	4	4	3	+2	16
11	Guingamp	9	4	2	3	+1	14
12	Dijon	11	4	2	5	-1	14
13	Amiens	10	3	4	3	+5	13
14	Rodez	9	3	4	2	+2	13
15	Nimes	10	3	3	4	-2	12
16	Caen	10	3	1	6	+1	10
17	Quevilly Rouen	9	2	4	3	-3	10
18	Dunkerque	10	2	3	5	-5	9
19	Valenciennes	10	2	2	6	-11	8
20	Nancy	9	1	3	5	-12	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	10	5	4	1	+9	19
2	Paris FC	10	6	0	4	+4	18
3	Sochaux	10	5	3	2	+2	18
4	Auxerre	10	5	3	2	+0	18
5	Le Havre	9	4	4	1	+4	16
6	Ajaccio	9	4	3	2	+3	15
7	Nimes	10	4	2	4	+1	14
8	Valenciennes	10	3	5	2	-1	14
9	Rodez	11	4	2	5	-3	14
10	Quevilly Rouen	11	4	2	5	-5	14
11	Caen	9	2	6	1	+0	12
12	Niort	10	3	3	4	-3	12
13	Guingamp	11	2	5	4	-5	11
14	Dijon	9	3	0	6	-3	9
15	Amiens	9	1	5	3	-2	8
16	Dunkerque	9	2	1	6	-6	7
17	Bastia	10	2	1	7	-7	7
18	Nancy	10	1	3	6	-7	6
19	Pau FC	9	1	2	6	-10	5
20	Grenoble	10	1	2	7	-12	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.