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Bundesliga
Referee: B Cortus
Bielefeld
S S U U S
1–1
Full-time
M'gladbach
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bielefeld M'gladbach
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 25%
20%
30%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
35%
65%
Both score Ø 60%
50%
70%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

39% Possession 61%
11 Shots 21
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 11
4 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bielefeld 14. · M'gladbach 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 20 16 1 3 +46 49
2 Dortmund 20 14 1 5 +21 43
3 Leverkusen 20 10 5 5 +17 35
4 Union Berlin 20 9 7 4 +4 34
5 Freiburg 20 9 6 5 +10 33
6 RB Leipzig 20 9 4 7 +15 31
7 Hoffenheim 20 9 4 7 +9 31
8 FC Koln 20 7 8 5 -2 29
9 Ein Frankfurt 20 7 7 6 +0 28
10 Mainz 20 8 3 9 +5 27
11 Bochum 21 7 4 10 -10 25
12 Hertha 21 6 5 10 -20 23
13 M'gladbach 20 6 4 10 -11 22
14 Bielefeld 20 4 9 7 -6 21
15 Wolfsburg 20 6 3 11 -15 21
16 Augsburg 20 4 7 9 -15 19
17 Stuttgart 20 4 6 10 -13 18
18 Greuther Furth 20 2 4 14 -35 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bielefeld M'gladbach
1–0 J. Serra
P. Wimmer
19′
27′
🟨 Kouadio Koné
38′
A. Pléa 1–1
J. Hofmann
Half-time 1–1
Fabian Kunze 🟨
57′
A. Schöpf 🔁
↦ S. Vasiliadis
63′
Patrick Wimmer 🟨
64′
F. Klos 🔁
↦ J. Serra
71′
G. Bello 🔁
↦ N. De Medina
71′
Joakim Nilsson 🟨
74′
82′
🟨 Stefan Lainer
83′
🔁 M. Thuram
↦ B. Embolo
M. Prietl 🔁
↦ F. Kunze
87′
G. Castro 🔁
↦ M. Okugawa
87′
93′
🟨 Alassane Pléa
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bielefeld

4-2-3-1
1 S. Ortega Moreno G
4 J. Nilsson D
27 C. Brunner D
15 N. De Medina D
3 Guilherme Ramos D
16 F. Kunze M
11 M. Okugawa M
39 S. Vasiliadis M
20 P. Wimmer M
23 J. Serra F
18 F. Krüger M
Bench (9)
8 A. Schöpf
9 F. Klos
24 G. Bello
19 M. Prietl
7 G. Castro
22 E. Fernandes
10 B. Lasme
35 A. Schulz
17 B. İnce

Coach: F. Kramer

M'gladbach

3-4-2-1
1 Y. Sommer G
18 S. Lainer M
28 M. Ginter D
5 M. Friedrich D
30 N. Elvedi D
25 R. Bensebaïni M
23 J. Hofmann F
32 F. Neuhaus M
17 K. Koné M
14 A. Pléa F
36 B. Embolo F
Bench (9)
10 M. Thuram
15 L. Beyer
24 T. Jantschke
22 L. Bénes
34 C. Noß
7 P. Herrmann
21 T. Sippel
20 L. Netz
29 J. Scally

Coach: A. Hütter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,40
U ✓
3,48
B
2,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,80
U2,5 ✓
2,04
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Cortus · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.