Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Niort
Le Havre
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Toulouse
|
23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | +29 | 45 |
| 2 |
Ajaccio
|
22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | +11 | 42 |
| 3 |
Paris FC
|
22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | +10 | 41 |
| 4 |
Sochaux
|
22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | +6 | 40 |
| 5 |
Auxerre
|
22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | +9 | 37 |
| 6 |
Niort
|
21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | +6 | 34 |
| 7 |
Le Havre
|
22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 34 |
| 8 |
Nimes
|
22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | +3 | 32 |
| 9 |
Dijon
|
23 | 9 | 2 | 12 | -4 | 29 |
| 10 |
Pau FC
|
22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | -3 | 28 |
| 11 |
Rodez
|
22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | -3 | 28 |
| 12 |
Guingamp
|
22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | -7 | 26 |
| 13 |
Amiens
|
22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | +5 | 25 |
| 14 |
Caen
|
22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | +0 | 25 |
| 15 |
Valenciennes
|
22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 |
Quevilly Rouen
|
22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | -9 | 25 |
| 17 |
Bastia
|
22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | -1 | 24 |
| 18 |
Grenoble
|
21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | -10 | 22 |
| 19 |
Dunkerque
|
22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -13 | 18 |
| 20 |
Nancy
|
22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -27 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Niort
Dunkerque
Caen
Niort
Niort
Pau FC
Dijon
Niort
Niort
Toulouse
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.