Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Troyes
Chateauroux
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Grenoble
|
17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | +15 | 34 |
| 2 |
Troyes
|
17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | +11 | 34 |
| 3 |
Toulouse
|
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | +13 | 32 |
| 4 |
Auxerre
|
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | +15 | 31 |
| 5 |
Paris FC
|
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | +7 | 31 |
| 6 |
Clermont
|
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | +12 | 30 |
| 7 |
Caen
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 26 |
| 8 |
Sochaux
|
17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | +7 | 24 |
| 9 |
Valenciennes
|
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | +2 | 24 |
| 10 |
Niort
|
17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | -7 | 24 |
| 11 |
Amiens
|
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | +2 | 23 |
| 12 |
Dunkerque
|
17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | -5 | 20 |
| 13 |
Le Havre
|
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | -7 | 20 |
| 14 |
Ajaccio
|
17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -10 | 18 |
| 15 |
Guingamp
|
17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Chambly | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | -9 | 16 |
| 17 |
Nancy
|
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -7 | 14 |
| 18 |
Pau FC
|
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -10 | 14 |
| 19 |
Rodez
|
17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | -11 | 14 |
| 20 |
Chateauroux
|
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -11 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Grenoble
Troyes
Troyes
Niort
Nancy
Troyes
Caen
Troyes
Troyes
Paris FC
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.