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2. Bundesliga
Referee: W Haslberger
1–2
Full-time
Hamburg
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Preußen Münster Hamburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 33%
20%
45%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
55%
75%
Both score Ø 70%
65%
75%
Average goals
2,6
3,6
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

31% Possession 69%
5 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 7
3 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Preußen Münster 15. · Hamburg 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 FC Koln 20 11 4 5 +10 37
2 Hamburg 20 9 8 3 +18 35
3 Magdeburg 20 9 8 3 +12 35
4 Kaiserslautern 20 10 5 5 +7 35
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 20 9 6 5 +7 33
6 Hannover 20 9 5 6 +6 32
7 Paderborn 20 8 7 5 +4 31
8 Karlsruhe 20 8 6 6 +1 30
9 Elversberg 20 8 5 7 +5 29
10 Nurnberg 20 8 4 8 +1 28
11 Darmstadt 20 6 7 7 +5 25
12 Hertha 20 7 4 9 -2 25
13 Schalke 04 20 6 6 8 -2 24
14 Greuther Furth 20 6 5 9 -11 23
15 Preußen Münster 20 4 8 8 -5 20
16 Ulm 20 3 8 9 -2 17
17 Braunschweig 20 3 6 11 -21 15
18 Regensburg 20 4 2 14 -33 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Preußen Münster Hamburg
1–0 L. Frenkert
M. Kirkeskov
24′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 J. Dompé
↦ O. Stange
48′
D. Selke 1–1
J. Meffert
C. Makridis 🔁
↦ D. Kyerewaa
56′
A. Németh 🔁
↦ E. Amenyido
56′
59′
ℹ️ Adam Karabec
VAR: Penalty cancelled
67′
🔁 R. Königsdörffer
↦ A. Karabec
67′
🔁 L. Reis
↦ M. Richter
70′
🟨 Sebastian Schonlau
R. Preißinger 🔁
↦ J. Hendrix
72′
81′
🔁 W. Mikelbrencis
↦ S. Hefti
84′
🟨 Jean-Luc Dompé
M. Lorenz 🔁
↦ F. Pick
85′
H. Friðjónsson 🔁
↦ D. Kinsombi
86′
Lukas Frenkert 🟨
93′
94′
D. Selke 1–2
95′
🔁 J. Agyekum
↦ E. Sahiti
Hólmbert Aron Friðjónsson 🟨
98′
Marc Lorenz 🟨
99′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Preußen Münster

3-5-2
1 J. Schenk G
24 N. Koulis D
16 T. Paetow D
29 L. Frenkert D
27 J. ter Horst M
4 D. Kinsombi M
20 J. Hendrix M
7 D. Kyerewaa M
2 M. Kirkeskov M
30 E. Amenyido F
13 F. Pick F
Bench (9)
14 C. Makridis
28 A. Németh
21 R. Preißinger
18 M. Lorenz
31 H. Friðjónsson
32 L. Bazzoli
26 M. Behrens
15 S. Scherder
22 D. Schad

Coach: S. Hildmann

Hamburg

4-3-3
1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes G
30 S. Hefti D
5 D. Hadžikadunić D
4 S. Schonlau D
28 M. Muheim D
17 A. Karabec M
23 J. Meffert M
20 M. Richter M
29 E. Sahiti F
27 D. Selke F
49 O. Stange F
Bench (9)
7 J. Dompé
11 R. Königsdörffer
14 L. Reis
2 W. Mikelbrencis
39 J. Agyekum
6 Ł. Poręba
12 T. Mickel
16 D. Mebude
38 A. Røssing-Lelesiit

Coach: M. Polzin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,55
U
3,74
B ✓
1,95
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,66
U2,5
2,19
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Haslberger · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.