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2. Bundesliga

Referee: F Exner

Hamburg

U S U S T

4–1

Full-time

Fortuna Dusseldorf

S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Fortuna Dusseldorf

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 44%

46%

42%

Points per game

1,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

71%

58%

Both score Ø 67%

71%

63%

Average goals

3,4

3,1

Scored

2,1

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

62% Possession 38%

18 Shots 9

9 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 3. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Koln	25	13	5	7	+8	44
2	Kaiserslautern	25	12	7	6	+8	43
3	Hamburg	24	11	9	4	+20	42
4	Magdeburg	25	11	9	5	+15	42
5	Paderborn	24	11	8	5	+10	41
6	Elversberg	25	11	7	7	+14	40
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	24	10	8	6	+7	38
8	Hannover	24	10	8	6	+7	38
9	Karlsruhe	25	10	6	9	-2	36
10	Nurnberg	24	10	5	9	+3	35
11	Schalke 04	25	9	6	10	-2	33
12	Greuther Furth	25	9	6	10	-8	33
13	Darmstadt	25	8	7	10	+3	31
14	Hertha	25	7	5	13	-9	26
15	Preußen Münster	24	5	8	11	-7	23
16	Braunschweig	24	5	7	12	-21	22
17	Ulm	25	3	10	12	-7	19
18	Regensburg	24	4	3	17	-39	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	12	7	4	1	+9	25
2	Hamburg	12	6	6	0	+19	24
3	Kaiserslautern	13	6	5	2	+9	23
4	Elversberg	13	7	2	4	+6	23
5	Nurnberg	12	7	2	3	+6	23
6	FC Koln	12	6	3	3	+9	21
7	Paderborn	12	6	2	4	+6	20
8	Karlsruhe	12	6	2	4	+2	20
9	Darmstadt	13	5	4	4	+8	19
10	Greuther Furth	13	5	3	5	-4	18
11	Schalke 04	12	5	2	5	-1	17
12	Braunschweig	12	4	4	4	+0	16
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	4	4	5	-2	16
14	Regensburg	12	4	2	6	-8	14
15	Magdeburg	12	2	7	3	+0	13
16	Preußen Münster	12	3	4	5	-1	13
17	Ulm	12	2	4	6	-1	10
18	Hertha	12	2	2	8	-7	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	13	9	2	2	+15	29
2	FC Koln	13	7	2	4	-1	23
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	6	4	1	+9	22
4	Paderborn	12	5	6	1	+4	21
5	Kaiserslautern	12	6	2	4	-1	20
6	Hamburg	12	5	3	4	+1	18
7	Hertha	13	5	3	5	-2	18
8	Elversberg	12	4	5	3	+8	17
9	Schalke 04	13	4	4	5	-1	16
10	Karlsruhe	13	4	4	5	-4	16
11	Greuther Furth	12	4	3	5	-4	15
12	Hannover	12	3	4	5	-2	13
13	Nurnberg	12	3	3	6	-3	12
14	Darmstadt	12	3	3	6	-5	12
15	Preußen Münster	12	2	4	6	-6	10
16	Ulm	13	1	6	6	-6	9
17	Braunschweig	12	1	3	8	-21	6
18	Regensburg	12	0	1	11	-31	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.