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2. Bundesliga

Referee: M Petersen

Fortuna Dusseldorf

T U U S U

2–0

Full-time

Hamburg

S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Hamburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,8

4,2

Scored

2,0

Conceded

1,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 46%

42%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

63%

Both score Ø 65%

67%

63%

Average goals

3,5

3,4

Scored

2,1

2,0

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%

8 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 0

3 Blocked shots 6

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 1

0 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 7. · Hamburg 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	24	13	9	2	+19	48
2	Holstein Kiel	24	13	4	7	+12	43
3	Hamburg	24	12	5	7	+12	41
4	Hannover	24	10	8	6	+12	38
5	Greuther Furth	24	11	5	8	+3	38
6	Paderborn	24	11	5	8	-2	38
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	24	10	7	7	+16	37
8	Karlsruhe	24	9	8	7	+8	35
9	Hertha	24	9	7	8	+6	34
10	Nurnberg	24	9	6	9	-9	33
11	Elversberg	24	9	5	10	-5	32
12	Magdeburg	24	8	7	9	+5	31
13	Wehen	24	8	6	10	-1	30
14	Schalke 04	24	9	2	13	-9	29
15	Kaiserslautern	24	7	4	13	-10	25
16	Braunschweig	24	7	3	14	-14	24
17	Hansa Rostock	24	6	4	14	-19	22
18	Osnabruck	24	3	9	12	-24	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	12	7	5	0	+15	26
2	Greuther Furth	12	8	2	2	+13	26
3	Hannover	12	7	4	1	+16	25
4	Hamburg	12	8	0	4	+10	24
5	Karlsruhe	13	6	5	2	+9	23
6	Schalke 04	12	7	1	4	+7	22
7	Magdeburg	12	6	3	3	+8	21
8	Hertha	12	5	4	3	+12	19
9	Holstein Kiel	12	6	1	5	+2	19
10	Nurnberg	12	5	4	3	+0	19
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	5	3	4	+3	18
12	Paderborn	12	5	3	4	+0	18
13	Braunschweig	12	5	3	4	-1	18
14	Elversberg	12	5	2	5	-2	17
15	Wehen	11	4	4	3	+0	16
16	Kaiserslautern	12	5	1	6	-2	16
17	Hansa Rostock	12	4	2	6	-6	14
18	Osnabruck	12	2	5	5	-5	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	12	7	3	2	+10	24
2	St Pauli	12	6	4	2	+4	22
3	Paderborn	12	6	2	4	-2	20
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	5	4	3	+13	19
5	Hamburg	12	4	5	3	+2	17
6	Elversberg	12	4	3	5	-3	15
7	Hertha	12	4	3	5	-6	15
8	Wehen	13	4	2	7	-1	14
9	Nurnberg	12	4	2	6	-9	14
10	Hannover	12	3	4	5	-4	13
11	Karlsruhe	11	3	3	5	-1	12
12	Greuther Furth	12	3	3	6	-10	12
13	Magdeburg	12	2	4	6	-3	10
14	Kaiserslautern	12	2	3	7	-8	9
15	Hansa Rostock	12	2	2	8	-13	8
16	Schalke 04	12	2	1	9	-16	7
17	Osnabruck	12	1	4	7	-19	7
18	Braunschweig	12	2	0	10	-13	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.