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2. Bundesliga

Referee: S Storks

Hamburg

S S U S U

3–0

Full-time

Kaiserslautern

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Kaiserslautern

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

2,3

1,5

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 48%

45%

50%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

73%

68%

Both score Ø 68%

77%

59%

Average goals

3,5

3,2

Scored

2,2

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%

15 Shots 13

8 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

11 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 2. · Kaiserslautern 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Koln	22	12	4	6	+8	40
2	Hamburg	22	10	9	3	+19	39
3	Kaiserslautern	22	11	6	5	+8	39
4	Magdeburg	22	10	8	4	+14	38
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	22	10	7	5	+8	37
6	Paderborn	22	10	7	5	+8	37
7	Elversberg	22	10	5	7	+10	35
8	Hannover	22	9	7	6	+6	34
9	Nurnberg	22	10	4	8	+4	34
10	Karlsruhe	22	8	6	8	-2	30
11	Schalke 04	22	7	6	9	-2	27
12	Greuther Furth	22	7	5	10	-12	26
13	Darmstadt	22	6	7	9	+1	25
14	Hertha	22	7	4	11	-4	25
15	Braunschweig	22	5	6	11	-18	21
16	Preußen Münster	22	4	8	10	-8	20
17	Ulm	22	3	8	11	-6	17
18	Regensburg	22	4	3	15	-34	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	11	7	3	1	+9	24
2	Nurnberg	11	7	2	2	+7	23
3	Hamburg	11	5	6	0	+16	21
4	FC Koln	11	6	2	3	+9	20
5	Elversberg	12	6	2	4	+2	20
6	Kaiserslautern	11	5	4	2	+6	19
7	Paderborn	11	5	2	4	+4	17
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	4	4	4	-1	16
9	Braunschweig	11	4	3	4	+0	15
10	Karlsruhe	10	4	2	4	-1	14
11	Schalke 04	11	4	2	5	-2	14
12	Greuther Furth	11	4	2	5	-7	14
13	Regensburg	12	4	2	6	-8	14
14	Darmstadt	11	3	4	4	+3	13
15	Magdeburg	11	1	7	3	-3	10
16	Preußen Münster	11	2	4	5	-3	10
17	Ulm	10	2	3	5	+0	9
18	Hertha	10	2	1	7	-6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	11	9	1	1	+17	28
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	6	3	1	+9	21
3	Paderborn	11	5	5	1	+4	20
4	Kaiserslautern	11	6	2	3	+2	20
5	FC Koln	11	6	2	3	-1	20
6	Hamburg	11	5	3	3	+3	18
7	Hertha	12	5	3	4	+2	18
8	Karlsruhe	12	4	4	4	-1	16
9	Elversberg	10	4	3	3	+8	15
10	Schalke 04	11	3	4	4	+0	13
11	Darmstadt	11	3	3	5	-2	12
12	Greuther Furth	11	3	3	5	-5	12
13	Nurnberg	11	3	2	6	-3	11
14	Hannover	11	2	4	5	-3	10
15	Preußen Münster	11	2	4	5	-5	10
16	Ulm	12	1	5	6	-6	8
17	Braunschweig	11	1	3	7	-18	6
18	Regensburg	10	0	1	9	-26	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.