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Ligue 2
Referee: J Stinat
Metz
U S S T S
5–1
Full-time
Annecy
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Annecy
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 48%
52%
44%
Points per game
1,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
40%
36%
Both score Ø 42%
48%
36%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

54% Possession 46%
10 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Metz 4. · Annecy 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lorient 26 16 4 6 +19 52
2 Paris FC 26 16 4 6 +17 52
3 Dunkerque 25 15 3 7 +12 48
4 Metz 25 13 8 4 +21 47
5 Guingamp 26 13 3 10 +10 42
6 Laval 26 11 7 8 +8 40
7 Annecy 25 11 6 8 +0 39
8 Bastia 26 8 13 5 +6 37
9 Grenoble 26 10 6 10 +1 36
10 Troyes 26 10 3 13 +2 33
11 Pau FC 26 8 9 9 -7 33
12 Red Star 26 9 5 12 -12 32
13 Ajaccio 26 9 4 13 -9 31
14 Amiens 26 9 3 14 -14 30
15 Rodez 25 7 6 12 -2 27
16 Clermont 26 6 7 13 -13 25
17 Martigues 26 7 3 16 -23 24
18 Caen 26 5 4 17 -16 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Metz Annecy
Sadibou Sané 🟨
7′
0–1 A. Drouhin
own goal
12′
1–1 J. Deminguet
29′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🟨 Trévis Dago
53′
🟨 Vincent Pajot
56′
🔁 K. Djoco
↦ T. Dago
2–1 A. Jallow
M. Udol
64′
66′
🔁 W. Tiendrébéogo
↦ C. Billemaz
66′
🔁 A. Bermont
↦ A. Larose
Jessy Deminguet 🟨
67′
69′
Y. Demoncy 2–2
A. Touré 🔁
↦ J. Deminguet
78′
M. Bokele Mputu 🔁
↦ C. Sabaly
83′
J. Asoro 🔁
↦ I. Gueye
83′
P. Diallo 🔁
↦ A. Jallow
84′
3–2 J. Asoro
P. Diallo
86′
M. Colin 🔁
↦ K. Kouao
90′
91′
🔁 Q. Paris
↦ Y. Demoncy
4–2 M. Bokele Mputu
J. Asoro
94′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Metz

4-4-2
29 A. Bodart G
39 K. Kouao D
38 S. Sané D
4 U. Mboula D
3 M. Udol D
36 A. Jallow M
21 B. Stambouli M
20 J. Deminguet M
7 G. Hein M
18 I. Gueye F
14 C. Sabaly F
Bench (7)
12 A. Touré
19 M. Bokele Mputu
99 J. Asoro
10 P. Diallo
2 M. Colin
22 K. Van Den Kerkhof
16 A. Oukidja

Coach: S. Le Mignan

Annecy

4-2-3-1
1 F. Escales G
41 T. Delphis D
4 P. Ganiou D
18 A. Drouhin D
21 F. Nsakala D
17 V. Pajot M
5 A. Kashi M
28 A. Larose M
24 Y. Demoncy M
22 C. Billemaz M
9 T. Dago F
Bench (7)
10 K. Djoco
20 W. Tiendrébéogo
26 A. Bermont
33 Q. Paris
16 T. Callens
34 E. Riou
19 R. Neelakandan

Coach: L. Guyot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,41
U
4,44
B
7,19
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,84
U2,5
1,92
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Stinat · 142 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.