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2. Bundesliga

Referee: R Schröder

Fortuna Dusseldorf

T S S U S

2–2

Full-time

Hamburg

S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Hamburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

2,2

1,8

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 56%

52%

60%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

60%

52%

Both score Ø 56%

60%

52%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

38% Possession 62%

17 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 1

2 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 9

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 4. · Hamburg 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	25	15	7	3	+19	52
2	Heidenheim	25	14	8	3	+23	50
3	Hamburg	25	15	4	6	+16	49
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	25	13	3	9	+11	42
5	St Pauli	25	11	8	6	+11	41
6	Paderborn	25	12	4	9	+17	40
7	Kaiserslautern	25	10	9	6	+5	39
8	Holstein Kiel	25	8	10	7	+1	34
9	Karlsruhe	25	10	4	11	+1	34
10	Hannover	25	8	7	10	+0	31
11	Greuther Furth	25	7	9	9	-4	30
12	Nurnberg	25	8	5	12	-15	29
13	Magdeburg	25	8	4	13	-14	28
14	Regensburg	25	7	5	13	-15	26
15	Bielefeld	25	7	4	14	-5	25
16	Braunschweig	25	6	7	12	-13	25
17	Hansa Rostock	25	7	4	14	-16	25
18	Sandhausen	25	5	6	14	-22	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	13	10	3	0	+22	33
2	Darmstadt	13	8	5	0	+14	29
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	8	2	2	+14	26
4	St Pauli	12	7	5	0	+12	26
5	Hamburg	13	8	2	3	+11	26
6	Paderborn	12	8	0	4	+18	24
7	Greuther Furth	13	6	6	1	+6	24
8	Kaiserslautern	12	5	5	2	+3	20
9	Karlsruhe	13	6	2	5	+2	20
10	Nurnberg	12	6	1	5	+0	19
11	Hannover	12	5	3	4	+2	18
12	Braunschweig	13	5	3	5	+1	18
13	Regensburg	13	4	5	4	-6	17
14	Holstein Kiel	12	4	4	4	+3	16
15	Bielefeld	13	5	1	7	+1	16
16	Magdeburg	12	3	3	6	-6	12
17	Sandhausen	12	3	3	6	-12	12
18	Hansa Rostock	13	3	1	9	-11	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	12	7	2	3	+5	23
2	Darmstadt	12	7	2	3	+5	23
3	Kaiserslautern	13	5	4	4	+2	19
4	Holstein Kiel	13	4	6	3	-2	18
5	Heidenheim	12	4	5	3	+1	17
6	Paderborn	13	4	4	5	-1	16
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	5	1	7	-3	16
8	Magdeburg	13	5	1	7	-8	16
9	St Pauli	13	4	3	6	-1	15
10	Hansa Rostock	12	4	3	5	-5	15
11	Karlsruhe	12	4	2	6	-1	14
12	Hannover	13	3	4	6	-2	13
13	Nurnberg	13	2	4	7	-15	10
14	Bielefeld	12	2	3	7	-6	9
15	Regensburg	12	3	0	9	-9	9
16	Sandhausen	13	2	3	8	-10	9
17	Braunschweig	12	1	4	7	-14	7
18	Greuther Furth	12	1	3	8	-10	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.