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2. Bundesliga

Referee: E Weisbach

Hamburg

T U T U S

2–2

Full-time

Darmstadt

S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Darmstadt

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

3,8

3,2

Scored

1,7

2,2

Conceded

2,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 40%

43%

36%

Points per game

1,6

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

79%

64%

Both score Ø 79%

79%

Average goals

3,6

3,7

Scored

2,2

2,0

Conceded

1,4

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

44% Possession 56%

16 Shots 19

7 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

2 Corners 8

0 Offside 5

11 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 6. · Darmstadt 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	15	7	6	2	+6	27
2	Kaiserslautern	15	7	5	3	+8	26
3	Hannover	15	8	2	5	+6	26
4	Elversberg	15	7	4	4	+9	25
5	Magdeburg	15	6	6	3	+3	24
6	Hamburg	14	6	5	3	+11	23
7	Karlsruhe	15	6	5	4	+0	23
8	FC Koln	14	6	4	4	+5	22
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	6	4	4	+3	22
10	Hertha	15	6	3	6	+1	21
11	Darmstadt	14	5	5	4	+4	20
12	Nurnberg	15	5	4	6	+2	19
13	Greuther Furth	15	4	5	6	-5	17
14	Schalke 04	15	4	4	7	-4	16
15	Braunschweig	14	3	4	7	-11	13
16	Ulm	15	2	6	7	-4	12
17	Preußen Münster	15	2	6	7	-6	12
18	Regensburg	14	2	2	10	-28	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	8	7	0	1	+9	21
2	Elversberg	8	5	1	2	+6	16
3	Paderborn	7	4	2	1	+5	14
4	Hamburg	7	3	4	0	+10	13
5	Kaiserslautern	7	3	3	1	+5	12
6	FC Koln	8	3	2	3	+5	11
7	Braunschweig	7	3	2	2	+3	11
8	Nurnberg	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Karlsruhe	7	3	2	2	+0	11
10	Darmstadt	8	2	4	2	+3	10
11	Greuther Furth	8	2	2	4	-7	8
12	Schalke 04	7	2	1	4	-2	7
13	Hertha	7	2	1	4	-3	7
14	Regensburg	7	2	1	4	-9	7
15	Preußen Münster	8	1	3	4	-3	6
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	1	3	3	-5	6
17	Ulm	7	1	2	4	-2	5
18	Magdeburg	7	0	5	2	-5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	8	6	1	1	+8	19
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	5	1	1	+8	16
3	Hertha	8	4	2	2	+4	14
4	Kaiserslautern	8	4	2	2	+3	14
5	Paderborn	8	3	4	1	+1	13
6	Karlsruhe	8	3	3	2	+0	12
7	FC Koln	6	3	2	1	+0	11
8	Darmstadt	6	3	1	2	+1	10
9	Hamburg	7	3	1	3	+1	10
10	Elversberg	7	2	3	2	+3	9
11	Greuther Furth	7	2	3	2	+2	9
12	Schalke 04	8	2	3	3	-2	9
13	Nurnberg	8	2	2	4	+0	8
14	Ulm	8	1	4	3	-2	7
15	Preußen Münster	7	1	3	3	-3	6
16	Hannover	7	1	2	4	-3	5
17	Braunschweig	7	0	2	5	-14	2
18	Regensburg	7	0	1	6	-19	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.