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2. Bundesliga
Referee: L Benen
Regensburg
T T U S T
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Regensburg Ulm
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 92%
83%
100%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
8 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
22 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Regensburg 17. · Ulm 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Schalke 04 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Greuther Furth 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Fortuna Dusseldorf 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Hannover 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Karlsruhe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Paderborn 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Hamburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Kaiserslautern 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Magdeburg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Elversberg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Nurnberg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Hertha 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 FC Koln 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Ulm 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Preußen Münster 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Darmstadt 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Regensburg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Braunschweig 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Regensburg Ulm
Christian Kühlwetter 🟨
-5′
15′
🟨 Bastian Allgeier
1–0 D. Kother
34′
Oscar Schönfelder 🟨
36′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 L. Hyryläinen
↦ P. Maier
46′
🔁 N. Kolbe
↦ T. Gaal
64′
🟨 Romario Rösch
N. Ganaus 🔁
↦ C. Kühlwetter
66′
Dominik Kother 🟨
67′
69′
🔁 S. Telalović
↦ D. Chessa
69′
🔁 A. Keller
↦ R. Rösch
R. Bulić 🔁
↦ A. Geipl
78′
R. Ziegele 🔁
↦ D. Kother
78′
81′
🔁 N. Castelle
↦ M. Krattenmacher
N. Ochojski 🔁
↦ B. Saller
87′
M. Ouro-Tagba 🔁
↦ K. Pröger
87′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Regensburg

4-3-3
1 F. Gebhardt G
6 B. Saller D
4 F. Ballas D
16 L. Breunig D
7 O. Schönfelder D
15 S. Ernst M
8 A. Geipl M
10 C. Viet M
33 K. Pröger F
30 C. Kühlwetter F
27 D. Kother F
Bench (9)
20 N. Ganaus
5 R. Bulić
14 R. Ziegele
11 N. Ochojski
40 M. Ouro-Tagba
13 A. Bittroff
3 B. Hein
9 E. Hottmann
23 J. Pollersbeck

Coach: J. Enochs

Ulm

3-4-2-1
39 C. Ortag G
4 T. Gaal D
5 J. Reichert D
32 P. Strompf D
7 B. Allgeier M
26 P. Maier M
23 M. Brandt M
43 R. Rösch M
11 D. Chessa F
30 M. Krattenmacher F
33 F. Higl F
Bench (9)
38 L. Hyryläinen
27 N. Kolbe
29 S. Telalović
16 A. Keller
44 N. Castelle
18 L. Stoll
19 J. Meier
10 A. Ludwig
12 M. Seybold

Coach: T. Wörle

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,53
U
3,38
B
2,74
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,90
U2,5 ✓
1,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Benen · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,40 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.