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Bundesliga

Referee: D Aytekin

Fortuna Dusseldorf

U S U S S

0–3

Full-time

Bochum

S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Bochum

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

4,3

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

0,8

3,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 1/35 matches

Win Ø 60%

100%

20%

Points per game

3,0

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

100%

66%

Both score Ø 35%

69%

Average goals

3,0

3,4

Scored

3,0

1,2

Conceded

0,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

+3,0

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

36% Possession 64%

22 Shots 23

6 Shots on target 8

7 Blocked shots 9

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

14 Corners 8

15 Free kicks against 21

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Leverkusen	34	28	6	0	+65	+44.1	90
2	Stuttgart	34	23	4	7	+39	+33.4	73
3	Bayern Munich	34	23	3	8	+49	+54.9	72
4	RB Leipzig	34	19	8	7	+38	+26.1	65
5	Dortmund	34	18	9	7	+25	+11.0	63
6	Ein Frankfurt	34	11	14	9	+1	-5.0	47
7	Hoffenheim	34	13	7	14	+0	-7.1	46
8	Heidenheim	34	10	12	12	-5	-23.9	42
9	Werder Bremen	34	11	9	14	-6	-10.5	42
10	Freiburg	34	11	9	14	-13	-1.3	42
11	Augsburg	34	10	9	15	-10	-10.5	39
12	Wolfsburg	34	10	7	17	-15	-4.7	37
13	Mainz	34	7	14	13	-12	+1.2	35
14	M'gladbach	34	7	13	14	-11	-7.9	34
15	Union Berlin	34	9	6	19	-25	-11.3	33
16	Bochum	35	7	12	16	-35	-20.3	33
17	FC Koln	34	5	12	17	-32	-26.3	27
18	Darmstadt	34	3	8	23	-56	-41.9	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Leverkusen	17	14	3	0	+36	+28.2	45
2	Bayern Munich	17	14	1	2	+41	+35.9	43
3	Stuttgart	17	13	3	1	+35	+24.9	42
4	RB Leipzig	17	11	4	2	+28	+21.2	37
5	Dortmund	17	10	3	4	+15	+14.1	33
6	Ein Frankfurt	17	7	8	2	+8	+6.5	29
7	Heidenheim	17	7	5	5	+4	-7.8	26
8	Werder Bremen	17	7	4	6	+3	-0.6	25
9	Augsburg	17	6	6	5	+0	-2.4	24
10	Mainz	17	6	5	6	+5	+11.3	23
11	Hoffenheim	17	6	5	6	+0	+4.5	23
12	Bochum	18	5	8	5	-6	+0.6	23
13	Union Berlin	17	7	2	8	-8	-3.2	23
14	Wolfsburg	17	6	4	7	+0	-0.1	22
15	Freiburg	17	5	7	5	-2	+8.7	22
16	M'gladbach	17	5	6	6	+1	+4.1	21
17	FC Koln	17	4	4	9	-13	-9.6	16
18	Darmstadt	17	1	3	13	-29	-14.1	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Leverkusen	17	14	3	0	+29	+15.9	45
2	Stuttgart	17	10	1	6	+4	+8.5	31
3	Dortmund	17	8	6	3	+10	-3.1	30
4	Bayern Munich	17	9	2	6	+8	+19.0	29
5	RB Leipzig	17	8	4	5	+10	+4.9	28
6	Hoffenheim	17	7	2	8	+0	-11.6	23
7	Freiburg	17	6	2	9	-11	-10.0	20
8	Ein Frankfurt	17	4	6	7	-7	-11.5	18
9	Werder Bremen	17	4	5	8	-9	-9.9	17
10	Heidenheim	17	3	7	7	-9	-16.0	16
11	Augsburg	17	4	3	10	-10	-8.0	15
12	Wolfsburg	17	4	3	10	-15	-4.6	15
13	M'gladbach	17	2	7	8	-12	-12.0	13
14	Mainz	17	1	9	7	-17	-10.1	12
15	FC Koln	17	1	8	8	-19	-16.8	11
16	Darmstadt	17	2	5	10	-27	-27.8	11
17	Union Berlin	17	2	4	11	-17	-8.1	10
18	Bochum	17	2	4	11	-29	-21.0	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.