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2. Bundesliga

Referee: R Hempel

Nurnberg

T S S T U

0–4

Full-time

Holstein Kiel

T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Holstein Kiel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,3

2,3

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 48%

37%

59%

Points per game

1,4

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

63%

56%

Both score Ø 60%

63%

56%

Average goals

3,2

3,1

Scored

1,4

1,9

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,6

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

29% Possession 71%

6 Shots 19

1 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 9

2 Offside 3

7 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nurnberg 10. · Holstein Kiel 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	27	16	9	2	+24	57
2	Holstein Kiel	27	16	4	7	+17	52
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	27	13	7	7	+24	46
4	Hamburg	27	13	6	8	+13	45
5	Hannover	27	11	10	6	+15	43
6	Hertha	28	11	8	9	+8	41
7	Karlsruhe	27	10	9	8	+14	39
8	Greuther Furth	27	11	6	10	-1	39
9	Paderborn	28	11	6	11	-5	39
10	Nurnberg	27	10	7	10	-10	37
11	Elversberg	27	10	5	12	-9	35
12	Magdeburg	27	8	7	12	-6	31
13	Wehen	28	8	7	13	-7	31
14	Schalke 04	27	9	4	14	-12	31
15	Hansa Rostock	28	9	4	15	-17	31
16	Braunschweig	27	9	3	15	-9	30
17	Kaiserslautern	27	8	5	14	-11	29
18	Osnabruck	27	4	9	14	-28	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	14	9	5	0	+18	32
2	Hamburg	13	9	0	4	+13	27
3	Greuther Furth	14	8	3	3	+10	27
4	Karlsruhe	14	7	5	2	+16	26
5	Hannover	13	7	5	1	+16	26
6	Holstein Kiel	14	8	1	5	+5	25
7	Schalke 04	14	7	3	4	+7	24
8	Hertha	14	6	5	3	+15	23
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	6	3	4	+5	21
10	Magdeburg	14	6	3	5	+4	21
11	Braunschweig	14	6	3	5	+3	21
12	Hansa Rostock	14	6	2	6	-3	20
13	Nurnberg	13	5	4	4	-2	19
14	Kaiserslautern	14	6	1	7	-3	19
15	Paderborn	14	5	3	6	-2	18
16	Wehen	13	4	5	4	-1	17
17	Elversberg	13	5	2	6	-4	17
18	Osnabruck	13	2	5	6	-9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	13	8	3	2	+12	27
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	7	4	3	+19	25
3	St Pauli	13	7	4	2	+6	25
4	Paderborn	14	6	3	5	-3	21
5	Hamburg	14	4	6	4	+0	18
6	Elversberg	14	5	3	6	-5	18
7	Hertha	14	5	3	6	-7	18
8	Nurnberg	14	5	3	6	-8	18
9	Hannover	14	4	5	5	-1	17
10	Wehen	15	4	2	9	-6	14
11	Karlsruhe	13	3	4	6	-2	13
12	Greuther Furth	13	3	3	7	-11	12
13	Hansa Rostock	14	3	2	9	-14	11
14	Kaiserslautern	13	2	4	7	-8	10
15	Magdeburg	13	2	4	7	-10	10
16	Osnabruck	14	2	4	8	-19	10
17	Braunschweig	13	3	0	10	-12	9
18	Schalke 04	13	2	1	10	-19	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.