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Super League

Referee: J von Mandach

Winterthur

S S U S U

2–2

Full-time

Lugano

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Winterthur Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

2,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

1,7

2,7

Scored

1,2

2,2

Conceded

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 47%

40%

53%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 69%

80%

57%

Average goals

3,4

3,3

Scored

1,7

1,9

Conceded

1,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%

13 Shots 19

6 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 8

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Winterthur 5. · Lugano 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	30	17	7	6	+32	+2.1	58
2	Servette	30	15	9	6	+16	+25.7	54
3	Lugano	30	16	4	10	+14	+9.7	52
4	Zurich	30	11	12	7	+10	+3.1	45
5	Winterthur	30	12	9	9	-1	-7.2	45
6	St. Gallen	30	12	7	11	+4	+11.4	43
7	Luzern	30	12	6	12	-3	+2.0	42
8	Lausanne	30	9	9	12	-4	+1.2	36
9	Yverdon	30	9	7	14	-21	-16.6	34
10	Basel	30	9	6	15	-13	-4.8	33
11	Grasshoppers	30	8	6	16	-7	-9.5	30
12	Lausanne Ouchy	30	5	8	17	-27	-17.2	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	15	12	2	1	+31	+6.0	38
2	St. Gallen	15	10	2	3	+12	+7.4	32
3	Servette	15	9	4	2	+14	+17.0	31
4	Winterthur	15	9	3	3	+5	+0.8	30
5	Luzern	15	9	2	4	+6	+2.9	29
6	Zurich	15	7	7	1	+9	+1.7	28
7	Yverdon	15	8	4	3	+2	-5.6	28
8	Lugano	15	8	3	4	+8	+7.6	27
9	Lausanne	15	6	5	4	+6	+5.4	23
10	Grasshoppers	15	6	3	6	+6	-2.8	21
11	Basel	15	5	4	6	+0	-2.0	19
12	Lausanne Ouchy	15	2	6	7	-16	-6.2	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	15	8	1	6	+6	+2.1	25
2	Servette	15	6	5	4	+2	+8.7	23
3	Young Boys	15	5	5	5	+1	-3.9	20
4	Zurich	15	4	5	6	+1	+1.4	17
5	Winterthur	15	3	6	6	-6	-8.0	15
6	Basel	15	4	2	9	-13	-2.8	14
7	Luzern	15	3	4	8	-9	-1.0	13
8	Lausanne	15	3	4	8	-10	-4.2	13
9	St. Gallen	15	2	5	8	-8	+4.0	11
10	Lausanne Ouchy	15	3	2	10	-11	-11.0	11
11	Grasshoppers	15	2	3	10	-13	-6.7	9
12	Yverdon	15	1	3	11	-23	-11.0	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.