Primeira Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Rio Ave
Gil Vicente
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sp Lisbon
|
26 | 22 | 2 | 2 | +51 | +35.8 | 68 |
| 2 |
Benfica
|
27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | +40 | +33.3 | 67 |
| 3 |
Porto
|
27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | +31 | +24.8 | 58 |
| 4 |
Sp Braga
|
27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | +23 | +18.1 | 56 |
| 5 |
Guimaraes
|
27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | +15 | +8.1 | 53 |
| 6 |
Moreirense
|
27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | +0 | +0.4 | 42 |
| 7 |
Arouca
|
27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | +7 | -1.8 | 37 |
| 8 |
Famalicao
|
26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | -5 | -7.1 | 31 |
| 9 |
Farense
|
28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | -3 | -8.0 | 30 |
| 10 |
Casa Pia
|
27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | -12 | -11.1 | 30 |
| 11 |
Boavista
|
28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -20 | -15.3 | 29 |
| 12 |
Gil Vicente
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -5 | -7.0 | 28 |
| 13 |
Estoril
|
27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | -6 | -10.2 | 28 |
| 14 |
Rio Ave
|
27 | 4 | 14 | 9 | -9 | +0.8 | 26 |
| 15 |
Estrela
|
27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -14 | -9.4 | 26 |
| 16 |
Portimonense
|
27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | -31 | -20.1 | 23 |
| 17 |
Vizela
|
27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -30 | -11.4 | 21 |
| 18 |
Chaves
|
27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | -32 | -19.9 | 19 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Jhonatan
G
Costinha
M
M. Vrousai
M
Joca
F
Fábio Ronaldo
F
Coach: Luís Freire
Gabriel Pereira
D
Rúben Fernandes
D
Leonardo Buta
D
Martim Neto
M
Murilo
M
K. Fujimoto
M
T. Touré
M
Coach: Vítor Campelos
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Boavista
Rio Ave
Farense
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Sp Braga
Moreirense
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Sp Lisbon
Gustavo Correia · 111 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.