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Primeira Liga
Referee: Gustavo Correia
Rio Ave
U U U U U
3–0
Full-time
Gil Vicente
U U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rio Ave Gil Vicente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,0
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Primeira Liga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 21%
15%
26%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
30%
52%
Both score Ø 54%
52%
56%
Average goals
2,3
2,9
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,65 xG 0,15
52% Possession 48%
13 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 8
3 Offside 4
18 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Rio Ave 14. · Gil Vicente 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 26 22 2 2 +51 +35.8 68
2 Benfica 27 21 4 2 +40 +33.3 67
3 Porto 27 18 4 5 +31 +24.8 58
4 Sp Braga 27 17 5 5 +23 +18.1 56
5 Guimaraes 27 16 5 6 +15 +8.1 53
6 Moreirense 27 12 6 9 +0 +0.4 42
7 Arouca 27 11 4 12 +7 -1.8 37
8 Famalicao 26 7 10 9 -5 -7.1 31
9 Farense 28 8 6 14 -3 -8.0 30
10 Casa Pia 27 8 6 13 -12 -11.1 30
11 Boavista 28 7 8 13 -20 -15.3 29
12 Gil Vicente 27 7 7 13 -5 -7.0 28
13 Estoril 27 8 4 15 -6 -10.2 28
14 Rio Ave 27 4 14 9 -9 +0.8 26
15 Estrela 27 6 8 13 -14 -9.4 26
16 Portimonense 27 6 5 16 -31 -20.1 23
17 Vizela 27 4 9 14 -30 -11.4 21
18 Chaves 27 4 7 16 -32 -19.9 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rio Ave Gil Vicente
24′
🟨 Tidjany Touré
1–0 João Teixeira
Joca
30′
40′
🟨 Alex Pinto
2–0 A. Yakubu
43′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 M. Dominguez
↦ Murilo
46′
🔁 Zé Carlos
↦ Alex Pinto
58′
🟨 Martim Neto
61′
🟨 Tidjany Touré
61′
🟥 Tidjany Touré
3–0 Joca
Fábio Ronaldo
63′
71′
🔁 Félix Correia
↦ Martim Neto
71′
🔁 J. Castillo
↦ K. Fujimoto
Úmaro Embaló 🔁
↦ Fábio Ronaldo
72′
Adrien Silva 🔁
↦ M. Vrousai
72′
Costinha 🟨
77′
Vitor Gomes 🔁
↦ João Teixeira
80′
Zé Manuel 🔁
↦ M. Tanlongo
80′
84′
🔁 M. Gbane
↦ Pedro Tiba
Ukra 🔁
↦ Joca
86′
Vítor Gomes 🟨
91′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Rio Ave

3-4-2-1
18 Jhonatan G
42 R. Pantalon D
33 Aderllan Santos D
4 Patrick William D
20 Costinha M
5 M. Tanlongo M
7 João Teixeira M
27 M. Vrousai M
14 Joca F
77 Fábio Ronaldo F
81 A. Yakubu F
Bench (9)
11 Úmaro Embaló
15 Adrien Silva
8 Vitor Gomes
70 Zé Manuel
17 Ukra
82 Magrão
21 João Graça
24 C. Castro
28 Hélder Sá

Coach: Luís Freire

Gil Vicente

4-2-3-1
42 Andrew G
67 Alex Pinto D
13 Gabriel Pereira D
26 Rúben Fernandes D
23 Leonardo Buta D
25 Pedro Tiba M
76 Martim Neto M
77 Murilo M
10 K. Fujimoto M
7 T. Touré M
29 Depú F
Bench (9)
8 M. Dominguez
2 Zé Carlos
70 Félix Correia
6 J. Castillo
24 M. Gbane
9 A. Alipour
39 Jonathan Buatu
5 Kiko Vilas Boas
33 S. Kritsyuk

Coach: Vítor Campelos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,31
U
3,13
B
3,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,32
U2,5
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Gustavo Correia · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.