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2. Bundesliga

Referee: F Willenborg

Nurnberg

U U T S S

0–2

Full-time

St Pauli

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg St Pauli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 48%

40%

56%

Points per game

1,4

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

64%

52%

Both score Ø 64%

64%

Average goals

3,1

2,8

Scored

1,4

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

33% Possession 67%

2 Shots 16

1 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 11

3 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nurnberg 8. · St Pauli 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	25	14	9	2	+21	51
2	Holstein Kiel	25	14	4	7	+13	46
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	26	12	7	7	+22	43
4	Hamburg	25	12	5	8	+10	41
5	Hannover	25	10	9	6	+12	39
6	Paderborn	26	11	6	9	-3	39
7	Greuther Furth	25	11	5	9	+0	38
8	Nurnberg	25	10	6	9	-8	36
9	Karlsruhe	25	9	8	8	+7	35
10	Elversberg	25	10	5	10	-2	35
11	Hertha	25	9	7	9	+4	34
12	Magdeburg	25	8	7	10	+4	31
13	Wehen	25	8	7	10	-1	31
14	Schalke 04	25	9	3	13	-9	30
15	Kaiserslautern	25	8	4	13	-9	28
16	Braunschweig	26	8	3	15	-14	27
17	Hansa Rostock	25	7	4	14	-18	25
18	Osnabruck	26	3	9	14	-29	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	13	8	5	0	+17	29
2	Greuther Furth	13	8	2	3	+10	26
3	Hannover	12	7	4	1	+16	25
4	Hamburg	12	8	0	4	+10	24
5	Karlsruhe	13	6	5	2	+9	23
6	Schalke 04	13	7	2	4	+7	23
7	Holstein Kiel	13	7	1	5	+3	22
8	Magdeburg	13	6	3	4	+7	21
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	6	3	4	+5	21
10	Hertha	12	5	4	3	+12	19
11	Nurnberg	12	5	4	3	+0	19
12	Kaiserslautern	13	6	1	6	-1	19
13	Paderborn	13	5	3	5	-1	18
14	Braunschweig	13	5	3	5	-2	18
15	Wehen	12	4	5	3	+0	17
16	Elversberg	12	5	2	5	-2	17
17	Hansa Rostock	12	4	2	6	-6	14
18	Osnabruck	13	2	5	6	-9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	12	7	3	2	+10	24
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	6	4	3	+17	22
3	St Pauli	12	6	4	2	+4	22
4	Paderborn	13	6	3	4	-2	21
5	Elversberg	13	5	3	5	+0	18
6	Hamburg	13	4	5	4	+0	17
7	Nurnberg	13	5	2	6	-8	17
8	Hertha	13	4	3	6	-8	15
9	Wehen	13	4	2	7	-1	14
10	Hannover	13	3	5	5	-4	14
11	Karlsruhe	12	3	3	6	-2	12
12	Greuther Furth	12	3	3	6	-10	12
13	Hansa Rostock	13	3	2	8	-12	11
14	Magdeburg	12	2	4	6	-3	10
15	Kaiserslautern	12	2	3	7	-8	9
16	Braunschweig	13	3	0	10	-12	9
17	Schalke 04	12	2	1	9	-16	7
18	Osnabruck	13	1	4	8	-20	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.