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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Heft
Holstein Kiel
S T U S S
2–0
Full-time
Hansa Rostock
U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel Hansa Rostock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
3,2
1,8
Scored
2,2
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 45%
58%
31%
Points per game
1,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
58%
58%
Both score Ø 52%
58%
46%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,9
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
11 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 4
0 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 17
6 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Holstein Kiel 2. · Hansa Rostock 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 26 15 9 2 +23 54
2 Holstein Kiel 26 15 4 7 +15 49
3 Hamburg 26 13 5 8 +13 44
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 26 12 7 7 +22 43
5 Hannover 26 10 10 6 +12 40
6 Paderborn 26 11 6 9 -3 39
7 Karlsruhe 26 10 8 8 +14 38
8 Greuther Furth 26 11 5 10 -1 38
9 Hertha 26 10 7 9 +7 37
10 Nurnberg 26 10 6 10 -10 36
11 Elversberg 26 10 5 11 -4 35
12 Magdeburg 26 8 7 11 -3 31
13 Wehen 26 8 7 11 -4 31
14 Schalke 04 26 9 3 14 -12 30
15 Kaiserslautern 26 8 5 13 -9 29
16 Hansa Rostock 26 8 4 14 -17 28
17 Braunschweig 26 8 3 15 -14 27
18 Osnabruck 26 3 9 14 -29 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Holstein Kiel Hansa Rostock
1–0 S. Skrzybski
S. Machino
3′
15′
🟨 Jonas David
Philipp Sander 🟨
31′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 N. Fröling
↦ Júnior Brumado
46′
🔁 J. Perea
↦ C. Kinsombi
47′
🟨 Juan José Perea
Finn Porath 🟨
51′
2–0 L. Holtby
57′
Marko Ivezić 🟨
63′
Steven Skrzybski 🟨
64′
N. Remberg 🔁
↦ S. Skrzybski
65′
J. Arp 🔁
↦ S. Machino
74′
L. Rosenboom 🔁
↦ F. Porath
74′
82′
🟨 Damian Roßbach
C. Johansson 🔁
↦ T. Becker
82′
M. Schulz 🔁
↦ P. Sander
82′
82′
🔁 S. Vasiliadis
↦ S. Rhein
82′
🔁 J. Strauß
↦ N. Neidhart
83′
🔁 S. Guðjohnsen
↦ S. Ingelsson
Tom Rothe 🟨
90′
Jann-Fiete Arp 🟨
91′
92′
🟨 Sveinn Aron Guðjohnsen
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Holstein Kiel

3-5-2
1 T. Weiner G
17 T. Becker D
6 M. Ivezić D
3 M. Komenda D
8 F. Porath M
10 L. Holtby M
16 P. Sander M
7 S. Skrzybski M
18 T. Rothe M
11 A. Bernhardsson F
13 S. Machino F
Bench (9)
22 N. Remberg
20 J. Arp
23 L. Rosenboom
5 C. Johansson
15 M. Schulz
27 J. Mees
29 N. Niehoff
2 M. Kirkeskov
31 M. Engelhardt

Coach: M. Rapp

Hansa Rostock

3-4-2-1
1 M. Kolke G
17 J. David D
4 D. Roßbach D
3 K. Stafylidis D
7 N. Neidhart M
8 S. Rhein M
6 D. Dressel M
13 K. Schumacher M
27 C. Kinsombi F
14 S. Ingelsson F
49 Júnior Brumado F
Bench (9)
10 N. Fröling
18 J. Perea
19 S. Vasiliadis
24 J. Strauß
45 S. Guðjohnsen
5 O. Hüsing
34 J. Lang
40 M. Johansson
26 J. Bachmann

Coach: M. Selimbegovic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,55
U
4,30
B
5,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,60
U2,5 ✓
2,31
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Heft · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.