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2. Bundesliga

Referee: M Jöllenbeck

Holstein Kiel

T T U S S

3–4

Full-time

St Pauli

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel St Pauli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 57%

59%

55%

Points per game

1,9

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

59%

50%

Both score Ø 62%

59%

64%

Average goals

3,1

2,6

Scored

1,9

1,8

Conceded

1,3

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,9

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

61% Possession 39%

12 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 1

3 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Holstein Kiel 2. · St Pauli 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	22	12	9	1	+20	45
2	Holstein Kiel	22	13	3	6	+13	42
3	Hamburg	22	11	5	6	+12	38
4	Hannover	22	10	7	5	+13	37
5	Greuther Furth	22	10	5	7	+6	35
6	Paderborn	22	10	4	8	-3	34
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	22	9	6	7	+14	33
8	Hertha	22	9	5	8	+6	32
9	Elversberg	22	9	5	8	-1	32
10	Nurnberg	22	8	6	8	-9	30
11	Karlsruhe	22	7	8	7	+0	29
12	Magdeburg	22	7	6	9	+2	27
13	Wehen	22	7	6	9	-3	27
14	Schalke 04	22	8	2	12	-8	26
15	Braunschweig	22	7	2	13	-13	23
16	Kaiserslautern	22	6	4	12	-9	22
17	Hansa Rostock	22	6	4	12	-14	22
18	Osnabruck	22	1	9	12	-26	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	12	7	5	0	+15	26
2	Hannover	11	7	3	1	+16	24
3	Greuther Furth	11	7	2	2	+12	23
4	Hamburg	10	7	0	3	+10	21
5	Karlsruhe	12	5	5	2	+5	20
6	Schalke 04	11	6	1	4	+5	19
7	Holstein Kiel	11	6	1	4	+3	19
8	Hertha	11	5	3	3	+12	18
9	Magdeburg	11	5	3	3	+5	18
10	Elversberg	11	5	2	4	+1	17
11	Paderborn	11	5	2	4	+0	17
12	Braunschweig	11	5	2	4	-1	17
13	Kaiserslautern	11	5	1	5	+2	16
14	Wehen	10	4	4	2	+1	16
15	Nurnberg	11	4	4	3	-1	16
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	4	3	4	+1	15
17	Hansa Rostock	11	4	2	5	-3	14
18	Osnabruck	11	1	5	5	-6	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	11	7	2	2	+10	23
2	St Pauli	10	5	4	1	+5	19
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	5	3	3	+13	18
4	Hamburg	12	4	5	3	+2	17
5	Paderborn	11	5	2	4	-3	17
6	Elversberg	11	4	3	4	-2	15
7	Hertha	11	4	2	5	-6	14
8	Nurnberg	11	4	2	5	-8	14
9	Hannover	11	3	4	4	-3	13
10	Greuther Furth	11	3	3	5	-6	12
11	Wehen	12	3	2	7	-4	11
12	Magdeburg	11	2	3	6	-3	9
13	Karlsruhe	10	2	3	5	-5	9
14	Hansa Rostock	11	2	2	7	-11	8
15	Schalke 04	11	2	1	8	-13	7
16	Kaiserslautern	11	1	3	7	-11	6
17	Braunschweig	11	2	0	9	-12	6
18	Osnabruck	11	0	4	7	-20	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.