Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Premier League

Referee: J Brooks

Brighton

T S S T U

0–3

Full-time

Arsenal

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Brighton Arsenal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

0,5

2,5

Conceded

1,5

0,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+2,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premier League · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 54%

37%

70%

Points per game

1,4

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

63%

Both score Ø 60%

73%

47%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

1,7

2,4

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,53 xG 3,39

55% Possession 45%

10 Shots 20

2 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 7

2 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brighton 9. · Arsenal 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Liverpool	30	21	7	2	+42	+32.4	70
2	Man City	31	21	7	3	+40	+33.7	70
3	Arsenal	30	21	5	4	+48	+37.9	68
4	Aston Villa	32	18	6	8	+17	+7.0	60
5	Tottenham	30	17	6	7	+18	+4.3	57
6	Man United	30	15	3	12	-1	-8.9	48
7	West Ham	32	13	9	10	-4	-12.6	48
8	Newcastle	31	14	5	12	+13	+5.5	47
9	Brighton	30	11	10	9	+5	+5.2	43
10	Chelsea	29	12	7	10	+3	+13.9	43
11	Wolves	31	12	6	13	-5	-9.9	42
12	Bournemouth	31	11	8	12	-10	-2.1	41
13	Fulham	32	11	6	15	-4	-11.4	39
14	Everton	31	9	8	14	-10	+1.8	35
15	Crystal Palace	31	7	9	15	-18	-8.3	30
16	Brentford	32	7	8	17	-13	+2.9	29
17	Nott'm Forest	31	7	8	16	-14	-5.9	29
18	Luton	32	6	7	19	-20	-27.1	25
19	Burnley	32	4	7	21	-35	-25.9	19
20	Sheffield United	30	3	6	21	-52	-32.7	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Liverpool	16	13	3	0	+29	+30.8	42
2	Man City	16	11	5	0	+25	+18.6	38
3	Arsenal	15	12	2	1	+25	+23.1	38
4	Aston Villa	16	11	2	3	+18	+11.5	35
5	Newcastle	16	10	3	3	+19	+17.3	33
6	Tottenham	15	11	0	4	+11	+7.7	33
7	Fulham	16	9	1	6	+13	+3.0	28
8	Brighton	14	7	6	1	+12	+8.1	27
9	Chelsea	15	7	4	4	+4	+15.2	25
10	West Ham	16	6	7	3	+3	-3.1	25
11	Man United	14	8	1	5	+1	+2.6	25
12	Wolves	15	7	3	5	+0	-4.4	24
13	Bournemouth	16	6	5	5	-3	+2.2	23
14	Nott'm Forest	16	5	4	7	+0	+1.0	19
15	Brentford	16	4	6	6	-5	+4.6	18
16	Everton	15	4	4	7	-2	+9.4	16
17	Crystal Palace	15	4	4	7	-3	+1.8	16
18	Luton	16	4	3	9	-3	-3.1	15
19	Burnley	16	2	3	11	-20	-5.0	9
20	Sheffield United	15	2	3	10	-30	-13.6	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Man City	15	10	2	3	+15	+15.2	32
2	Arsenal	15	9	3	3	+23	+14.8	30
3	Liverpool	14	8	4	2	+13	+1.6	28
4	Aston Villa	16	7	4	5	-1	-4.5	25
5	Tottenham	15	6	6	3	+7	-3.4	24
6	Man United	16	7	2	7	-2	-11.5	23
7	West Ham	16	7	2	7	-7	-9.5	23
8	Everton	16	5	4	7	-8	-7.6	19
9	Chelsea	14	5	3	6	-1	-1.3	18
10	Wolves	16	5	3	8	-5	-5.5	18
11	Bournemouth	15	5	3	7	-7	-4.3	18
12	Brighton	16	4	4	8	-7	-2.8	16
13	Newcastle	15	4	2	9	-6	-11.8	14
14	Crystal Palace	16	3	5	8	-15	-10.2	14
15	Brentford	16	3	2	11	-8	-1.7	11
16	Fulham	16	2	5	9	-17	-14.5	11
17	Nott'm Forest	15	2	4	9	-14	-6.9	10
18	Burnley	16	2	4	10	-15	-20.9	10
19	Luton	16	2	4	10	-17	-24.0	10
20	Sheffield United	15	1	3	11	-22	-19.1	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.