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Ligue 2
Referee: M Lesage
Paris FC
U U S S U
2–1
Full-time
Grenoble
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris FC Grenoble
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,3
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 35%
37%
33%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
40%
43%
Both score Ø 45%
43%
47%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

66% Possession 34%
18 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
4 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paris FC 8. · Grenoble 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 30 16 10 4 +26 58
2 St Etienne 31 16 6 9 +16 54
3 Angers 30 16 5 9 +12 53
4 Laval 30 13 9 8 +5 48
5 Rodez 30 12 10 8 +8 46
6 Caen 30 13 6 11 +3 45
7 Guingamp 30 11 10 9 +6 43
8 Paris FC 30 11 10 9 +4 43
9 Pau FC 30 11 10 9 +1 43
10 Amiens 30 10 12 8 -2 42
11 Grenoble 30 10 11 9 +3 41
12 Bordeaux 30 10 9 11 -5 39
13 Ajaccio 30 10 8 12 -6 38
14 Bastia 30 10 7 13 -7 37
15 Dunkerque 30 10 7 13 -13 37
16 Troyes 30 8 11 11 -4 35
17 Annecy 30 8 9 13 -5 33
18 Concarneau 31 9 6 16 -13 33
19 Quevilly Rouen 30 5 13 12 -4 28
20 Valenciennes 30 2 11 17 -25 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paris FC Grenoble
25′
N. Mbemba 0–1
A. Mendy
44′
🟨 Loïc Nestor
Half-time 0–1
T. Kolodziejczak 🔁
↦ S. Chergui
46′
1–1 A. Jabbari
I. Kebbal
61′
J. Lukembila 🔁
↦ L. Doucet
67′
67′
🔁 N. Thio
↦ V. Postolachi
67′
🔁 D. Rigo
↦ N. Mbemba
2–1 K. Dabila
I. Kebbal
76′
M. Touré 🔁
↦ A. Jabbari
80′
L. Diaby-Fadiga 🔁
↦ N. Dicko
80′
80′
🔁 A. Sanyang
↦ M. Tourraine
80′
🔁 E. Sylvestre
↦ J. Benet
T. Ollila 🔁
↦ J. Gaudin
89′
95′
🟨 Gaëtan Paquiez
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Paris FC

4-3-1-2
16 O. Nkambadio G
13 K. Dabila D
31 S. Chergui D
5 M. Mbow D
27 J. Gaudin D
18 L. Doucet M
14 C. Mandouki M
17 A. Camara M
10 I. Kebbal M
38 A. Jabbari F
12 N. Dicko F
Bench (7)
15 T. Kolodziejczak
23 J. Lukembila
19 M. Touré
9 L. Diaby-Fadiga
2 T. Ollila
6 P. Lasne
40 I. Filipović

Coach: S. Gilli

Grenoble

5-3-2
1 B. Maubleu G
39 M. Tourraine D
29 G. Paquiez D
14 L. Nestor D
4 M. Diarra D
77 A. Mendy D
31 N. Mbemba M
25 T. Valls M
8 J. Benet M
19 L. Joseph F
17 V. Postolachi F
Bench (7)
22 N. Thio
6 D. Rigo
2 A. Sanyang
10 E. Sylvestre
7 P. Meïssa Ba
70 S. Touray
16 B. Allain

Coach: L. Peyrelade

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,97
U
3,23
B
3,99
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,22
U2,5
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Lesage · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.