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Ligue 2

Referee: M Leleu

Pau FC

S T T S S

1–1

Full-time

Ajaccio

U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Ajaccio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 35%

37%

33%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

53%

37%

Both score Ø 45%

57%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,1

Scored

1,5

0,9

Conceded

1,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%

16 Shots 3

6 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 2

1 Offside 4

11 Free kicks against 25

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pau FC 9. · Ajaccio 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	30	16	10	4	+26	58
2	St Etienne	31	16	6	9	+16	54
3	Angers	30	16	5	9	+12	53
4	Laval	30	13	9	8	+5	48
5	Rodez	30	12	10	8	+8	46
6	Caen	30	13	6	11	+3	45
7	Guingamp	30	11	10	9	+6	43
8	Paris FC	30	11	10	9	+4	43
9	Pau FC	30	11	10	9	+1	43
10	Amiens	30	10	12	8	-2	42
11	Grenoble	30	10	11	9	+3	41
12	Bordeaux	30	10	9	11	-5	39
13	Ajaccio	30	10	8	12	-6	38
14	Bastia	30	10	7	13	-7	37
15	Dunkerque	30	10	7	13	-13	37
16	Troyes	30	8	11	11	-4	35
17	Annecy	30	8	9	13	-5	33
18	Concarneau	31	9	6	16	-13	33
19	Quevilly Rouen	30	5	13	12	-4	28
20	Valenciennes	30	2	11	17	-25	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	15	11	2	2	+14	35
2	Auxerre	15	8	5	2	+14	29
3	Ajaccio	15	8	5	2	+10	29
4	St Etienne	16	8	3	5	+8	27
5	Rodez	14	7	5	2	+10	26
6	Bordeaux	15	7	5	3	+6	26
7	Caen	14	7	3	4	+8	24
8	Grenoble	15	6	6	3	+5	24
9	Bastia	15	7	3	5	-2	24
10	Pau FC	15	6	5	4	+4	23
11	Troyes	15	7	2	6	+4	23
12	Amiens	16	5	8	3	+2	23
13	Paris FC	15	6	4	5	+5	22
14	Guingamp	14	5	5	4	+6	20
15	Laval	16	5	5	6	-5	20
16	Annecy	15	3	6	6	-5	15
17	Concarneau	15	4	3	8	-9	15
18	Dunkerque	16	4	3	9	-12	15
19	Quevilly Rouen	15	2	6	7	-4	12
20	Valenciennes	15	1	6	8	-10	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	15	8	5	2	+12	29
2	Laval	14	8	4	2	+10	28
3	St Etienne	15	8	3	4	+8	27
4	Guingamp	16	6	5	5	+0	23
5	Dunkerque	14	6	4	4	-1	22
6	Paris FC	15	5	6	4	-1	21
7	Caen	16	6	3	7	-5	21
8	Rodez	16	5	5	6	-2	20
9	Pau FC	15	5	5	5	-3	20
10	Amiens	14	5	4	5	-4	19
11	Annecy	15	5	3	7	+0	18
12	Angers	15	5	3	7	-2	18
13	Concarneau	16	5	3	8	-4	18
14	Grenoble	15	4	5	6	-2	17
15	Quevilly Rouen	15	3	7	5	+0	16
16	Bastia	15	3	4	8	-5	13
17	Bordeaux	15	3	4	8	-11	13
18	Troyes	15	1	9	5	-8	12
19	Ajaccio	15	2	3	10	-16	9
20	Valenciennes	15	1	5	9	-15	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.