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2. Bundesliga

Referee: B Dankert

Hertha

T T S S U

2–2

Full-time

Holstein Kiel

T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Holstein Kiel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 48%

39%

57%

Points per game

1,4

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

78%

61%

Both score Ø 66%

70%

61%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

1,9

Conceded

1,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

32% Possession 68%

11 Shots 15

7 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 5

3 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hertha 8. · Holstein Kiel 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	23	13	9	1	+21	48
2	Holstein Kiel	23	13	3	7	+12	42
3	Hamburg	23	12	5	6	+13	41
4	Greuther Furth	23	11	5	7	+7	38
5	Hannover	23	10	7	6	+12	37
6	Paderborn	23	11	4	8	-2	37
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	23	10	6	7	+16	36
8	Hertha	23	9	6	8	+6	33
9	Karlsruhe	23	8	8	7	+4	32
10	Elversberg	23	9	5	9	-2	32
11	Magdeburg	23	8	6	9	+5	30
12	Nurnberg	23	8	6	9	-10	30
13	Wehen	23	7	6	10	-4	27
14	Schalke 04	23	8	2	13	-11	26
15	Braunschweig	23	7	3	13	-13	24
16	Kaiserslautern	23	6	4	13	-13	22
17	Hansa Rostock	23	6	4	13	-16	22
18	Osnabruck	23	2	9	12	-25	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	12	7	5	0	+15	26
2	Greuther Furth	12	8	2	2	+13	26
3	Hannover	11	7	3	1	+16	24
4	Hamburg	11	8	0	3	+11	24
5	Magdeburg	12	6	3	3	+8	21
6	Karlsruhe	12	5	5	2	+5	20
7	Schalke 04	11	6	1	4	+5	19
8	Holstein Kiel	12	6	1	5	+2	19
9	Hertha	11	5	3	3	+12	18
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	5	3	4	+3	18
11	Braunschweig	12	5	3	4	-1	18
12	Elversberg	11	5	2	4	+1	17
13	Paderborn	11	5	2	4	+0	17
14	Wehen	11	4	4	3	+0	16
15	Nurnberg	11	4	4	3	-1	16
16	Kaiserslautern	12	5	1	6	-2	16
17	Hansa Rostock	11	4	2	5	-3	14
18	Osnabruck	12	2	5	5	-5	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	11	7	2	2	+10	23
2	St Pauli	11	6	4	1	+6	22
3	Paderborn	12	6	2	4	-2	20
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	5	3	3	+13	18
5	Hamburg	12	4	5	3	+2	17
6	Elversberg	12	4	3	5	-3	15
7	Hertha	12	4	3	5	-6	15
8	Nurnberg	12	4	2	6	-9	14
9	Hannover	12	3	4	5	-4	13
10	Karlsruhe	11	3	3	5	-1	12
11	Greuther Furth	11	3	3	5	-6	12
12	Wehen	12	3	2	7	-4	11
13	Magdeburg	11	2	3	6	-3	9
14	Hansa Rostock	12	2	2	8	-13	8
15	Schalke 04	12	2	1	9	-16	7
16	Kaiserslautern	11	1	3	7	-11	6
17	Braunschweig	11	2	0	9	-12	6
18	Osnabruck	11	0	4	7	-20	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.