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2. Bundesliga

Referee: F Zwayer

St Pauli

S S S U S

2–2

Full-time

Hamburg

U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Hamburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 57%

57%

Points per game

2,1

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

57%

Both score Ø 61%

64%

57%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,9

2,0

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

60% Possession 40%

16 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 3

8 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 3

2 Offside 4

5 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Pauli 1. · Hamburg 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	14	8	6	0	+16	30
2	Hamburg	14	8	3	3	+10	27
3	Holstein Kiel	14	8	2	4	+5	26
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	7	3	4	+11	24
5	Greuther Furth	14	7	3	4	+6	24
6	Elversberg	14	7	3	4	+3	24
7	Hannover	14	6	5	3	+11	23
8	Wehen	14	6	3	5	+0	21
9	Nurnberg	14	6	3	5	-3	21
10	Hertha	14	5	3	6	+2	18
11	Kaiserslautern	14	5	3	6	-3	18
12	Paderborn	14	5	3	6	-5	18
13	Magdeburg	14	4	4	6	+0	16
14	Karlsruhe	14	4	4	6	-1	16
15	Hansa Rostock	14	5	1	8	-6	16
16	Schalke 04	14	4	1	9	-10	13
17	Braunschweig	14	2	2	10	-17	8
18	Osnabruck	14	1	4	9	-19	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	7	7	0	0	+13	21
2	Greuther Furth	8	6	1	1	+12	19
3	St Pauli	7	4	3	0	+11	15
4	Hannover	7	4	2	1	+11	14
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	4	2	2	+3	14
6	Kaiserslautern	8	4	1	3	+1	13
7	Wehen	7	3	3	1	+1	12
8	Karlsruhe	7	3	2	2	+3	11
9	Nurnberg	6	3	2	1	+3	11
10	Hertha	6	3	1	2	+8	10
11	Holstein Kiel	7	3	1	3	-1	10
12	Elversberg	7	3	1	3	-1	10
13	Hansa Rostock	8	3	1	4	-2	10
14	Schalke 04	6	3	0	3	+1	9
15	Magdeburg	6	2	2	2	+1	8
16	Paderborn	6	2	2	2	+0	8
17	Braunschweig	7	2	2	3	-4	8
18	Osnabruck	8	1	2	5	-6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	7	5	1	1	+6	16
2	St Pauli	7	4	3	0	+5	15
3	Elversberg	7	4	2	1	+4	14
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	3	1	2	+8	10
5	Paderborn	8	3	1	4	-5	10
6	Nurnberg	8	3	1	4	-6	10
7	Hannover	7	2	3	2	+0	9
8	Wehen	7	3	0	4	-1	9
9	Magdeburg	8	2	2	4	-1	8
10	Hertha	8	2	2	4	-6	8
11	Hamburg	7	1	3	3	-3	6
12	Hansa Rostock	6	2	0	4	-4	6
13	Karlsruhe	7	1	2	4	-4	5
14	Kaiserslautern	6	1	2	3	-4	5
15	Greuther Furth	6	1	2	3	-6	5
16	Schalke 04	8	1	1	6	-11	4
17	Osnabruck	6	0	2	4	-13	2
18	Braunschweig	7	0	0	7	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.