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Pro League
Referee: E Lambrechts
Anderlecht
S T S S U
2–1
Full-time
RWD Molenbeek
T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht RWD Molenbeek
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,2
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 9/11 matches
Win Ø 47%
67%
27%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
78%
55%
Both score Ø 81%
89%
73%
Average goals
3,6
3,0
Scored
2,3
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,9
Goal diff per game
+1,1
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

3,53 xG 0,47
74% Possession 26%
25 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 1
0 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Anderlecht 3. · RWD Molenbeek 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 10 8 1 1 +16 +11.5 25
2 Cercle Brugge 10 8 0 2 +11 +10.4 24
3 Anderlecht 9 6 2 1 +10 +4.1 20
4 Antwerp 10 4 5 1 +17 +11.7 17
5 Club Brugge 10 5 2 3 +12 +15.4 17
6 Gent 10 4 5 1 +3 +2.8 17
7 Genk 10 4 4 2 +11 +12.5 16
8 Standard 10 4 3 3 -3 -10.1 15
9 RWD Molenbeek 11 3 4 4 -9 -7.7 13
10 Mechelen 9 3 2 4 -3 -2.0 11
11 St Truiden 10 2 5 3 -5 -5.2 11
12 Charleroi 12 2 4 6 -8 -8.0 10
13 Eupen 12 2 2 8 -16 -18.6 8
14 Kortrijk 11 2 2 7 -16 -6.0 8
15 Westerlo 10 1 3 6 -8 -6.5 6
16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 10 1 2 7 -12 -4.3 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht RWD Molenbeek
1′
🟨 Abner
16′
X. Mercier 0–1
S. Abe
L. Vázquez 🔁
↦ K. Dolberg
34′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 Y. Koné
↦ Abner
Alexis Flips 🟨
49′
B. Raman 🔁
↦ A. Flips
61′
M. Stroeykens 🔁
↦ T. Leoni
62′
65′
🔁 P. Mboup
↦ J. Reine-Adélaïde
Thomas Delaney ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
73′
73′
🟨 Makhtar Gueye
73′
🔁 L. Segovia
↦ M. Sissako
1–1 A. Dreyer
74′
82′
🟨 Ilay Camara
87′
🔁 Romildo Del Piage
↦ P. Dwomoh
87′
🔁 N. Dailly
↦ X. Mercier
88′
🟨 Ilay Camara
88′
🟥 Ilay Camara
M. Ashimeru 🔁
↦ M. Rits
89′
2–1 L. Vázquez
J. Vertonghen
91′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-3-3
33 K. Schmeichel G
54 K. Sardella D
56 Z. Debast D
14 J. Vertonghen D
15 L. Augustinsson D
25 T. Delaney M
23 M. Rits M
17 T. Leoni M
36 A. Dreyer F
12 K. Dolberg F
8 A. Flips F
Bench (7)
20 L. Vázquez
9 B. Raman
29 M. Stroeykens
18 M. Ashimeru
26 C. Coosemans
5 M. N'Diaye
21 A. Diawara

Coach: B. Riemer

RWD Molenbeek

3-4-2-1
33 T. Defourny G
19 J. Heris D
4 William Klaus D
44 M. Sissako D
17 I. Camara M
6 P. Dwomoh M
8 S. Abe M
26 Abner M
30 X. Mercier F
77 J. Reine-Adélaïde F
9 M. Gueye F
Bench (7)
99 Y. Koné
47 P. Mboup
2 L. Segovia
23 Romildo Del Piage
11 N. Dailly
28 G. Hubert
15 S. Diallo

Coach: Cláudio Caçapa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,38
U
4,89
B
7,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,60
U2,5
2,31
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Lambrechts · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.