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Pro League
Referee: L D'hondt
Gent
S S S S U
1–1
Full-time
St. Gilloise
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent St. Gilloise
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
2,5
2,3
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 67%
44%
89%
Points per game
1,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
44%
89%
Both score Ø 67%
78%
56%
Average goals
2,6
4,0
Scored
1,4
2,9
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,35 xG 0,76
60% Possession 40%
11 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 8
6 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 6. · St. Gilloise 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 9 8 0 1 +16 +12.1 24
2 Cercle Brugge 10 8 0 2 +11 +10.4 24
3 Anderlecht 9 6 2 1 +10 +4.1 20
4 Antwerp 10 4 5 1 +17 +11.7 17
5 Genk 10 4 4 2 +11 +12.5 16
6 Gent 9 4 4 1 +3 +2.3 16
7 Standard 10 4 3 3 -3 -10.1 15
8 Club Brugge 9 4 2 3 +11 +13.3 14
9 RWD Molenbeek 11 3 4 4 -9 -7.7 13
10 Mechelen 9 3 2 4 -3 -2.0 11
11 St Truiden 10 2 5 3 -5 -5.2 11
12 Charleroi 12 2 4 6 -8 -8.0 10
13 Eupen 12 2 2 8 -16 -18.6 8
14 Kortrijk 11 2 2 7 -16 -6.0 8
15 Westerlo 10 1 3 6 -8 -6.5 6
16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 9 1 2 6 -11 -2.2 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent St. Gilloise
4′
🟨 Mohamed El Amine Amoura
Malick Fofana 🟨
43′
Sven Kums 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 J. De Sart
48′
55′
Cameron Puertas 1–1
56′
🔁 K. Rodríguez
↦ D. Eckert Ayensa
57′
🔁 M. Rasmussen
↦ L. Amani
63′
🔁 G. Nilsson
↦ M. Amoura
66′
🟨 Gustaf Nilsson
Tarik Tissoudali ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
79′
Núrio Fortuna 🔁
↦ O. Gandelman
79′
A. Hjulsager 🔁
↦ T. Tissoudali
80′
G. Orban 🔁
↦ M. Fofana
83′
86′
🔁 N. Sadiki
↦ C. Vanhoutte
88′
🟨 Loic Lapoussin
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Gent

3-4-1-2
33 D. Roef G
5 I. Kandouss D
4 T. Watanabe D
23 J. Torunarigha D
18 M. Samoise M
24 S. Kums M
13 J. De Sart M
19 M. Fofana M
6 O. Gandelman F
10 T. Tissoudali F
11 H. Cuypers F
Bench (7)
25 Núrio Fortuna
17 A. Hjulsager
20 G. Orban
15 B. Lagae
1 P. Nardi
22 N. Fadiga
8 P. Gerkens

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

St. Gilloise

3-4-1-2
49 A. Moris G
5 K. Mac Allister D
16 C. Burgess D
28 K. Machida D
21 A. Castro-Montes M
24 C. Vanhoutte M
23 Cameron Puertas M
10 L. Lapoussin M
8 L. Amani F
9 D. Eckert Ayensa F
47 M. Amoura F
Bench (7)
13 K. Rodríguez
4 M. Rasmussen
29 G. Nilsson
27 N. Sadiki
26 R. Sykes
14 J. Imbrechts
17 C. Terho

Coach: A. Blessin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,54
U ✓
3,53
B
2,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,17
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L D'hondt · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.