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Superligaen

Referee: L Graagaard

Randers FC

U T T T U

0–1

Full-time

Odense

T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Randers FC Odense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 20%

20%

Points per game

1,0

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

67%

73%

Both score Ø 70%

67%

73%

Average goals

3,2

2,9

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,07 xG 1,11

57% Possession 43%

12 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 17

0 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Randers FC 9. · Odense 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	16	10	3	3	+14	+10.9	33
2	Brondby	15	9	3	3	+12	+2.2	30
3	Midtjylland	15	9	3	3	+7	+5.1	30
4	Silkeborg	15	8	3	4	+12	+10.8	27
5	Nordsjaelland	16	7	5	4	+12	+7.9	26
6	Aarhus	16	6	7	3	+3	+7.0	25
7	Viborg	16	5	4	7	-8	-2.7	19
8	Lyngby	15	4	4	7	-8	-3.7	16
9	Randers FC	15	3	6	6	-12	-2.5	15
10	Odense	15	3	4	8	-5	-6.6	13
11	Vejle	16	3	4	9	-5	-15.7	13
12	Hvidovre IF	16	1	4	11	-22	-12.7	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Silkeborg	8	5	2	1	+10	+8.9	17
2	Midtjylland	8	5	2	1	+6	+2.4	17
3	FC Copenhagen	8	5	1	2	+8	+8.0	16
4	Nordsjaelland	8	4	3	1	+8	+5.1	15
5	Viborg	8	4	3	1	+2	-1.9	15
6	Aarhus	8	4	2	2	+0	+3.0	14
7	Brondby	7	4	1	2	+5	+3.4	13
8	Lyngby	7	2	3	2	+1	-0.5	9
9	Randers FC	7	2	3	2	-5	+1.3	9
10	Vejle	8	2	2	4	-1	-5.4	8
11	Odense	8	0	2	6	-9	-1.3	2
12	Hvidovre IF	8	0	1	7	-16	-4.4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	8	5	2	1	+7	-1.2	17
2	FC Copenhagen	8	5	2	1	+6	+2.9	17
3	Midtjylland	7	4	1	2	+1	+2.7	13
4	Nordsjaelland	8	3	2	3	+4	+2.8	11
5	Odense	7	3	2	2	+4	-5.2	11
6	Aarhus	8	2	5	1	+3	+4.0	11
7	Silkeborg	7	3	1	3	+2	+1.9	10
8	Lyngby	8	2	1	5	-9	-3.2	7
9	Hvidovre IF	8	1	3	4	-6	-8.3	6
10	Randers FC	8	1	3	4	-7	-3.8	6
11	Vejle	8	1	2	5	-4	-10.3	5
12	Viborg	8	1	1	6	-10	-0.8	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.