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2. Bundesliga

Hamburg

U S U U S

3–0

Full-time

Ingolstadt

U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Ingolstadt

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,7

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,7

0,5

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 22%

36%

Points per game

1,6

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

50%

64%

Both score Ø 68%

86%

50%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

1,7

0,6

Conceded

1,1

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-1,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

21 Shots 13

8 Shots on target 5

7 Corners 5

10 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 8. · Ingolstadt 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	15	9	2	4	+20	29
2	St Pauli	14	9	2	3	+15	29
3	Regensburg	15	8	4	3	+13	28
4	Schalke 04	15	8	2	5	+9	26
5	Paderborn	14	7	4	3	+12	25
6	Nurnberg	14	6	6	2	+7	24
7	Heidenheim	15	7	3	5	-4	24
8	Hamburg	14	5	8	1	+8	23
9	Karlsruhe	15	5	6	4	+4	21
10	Werder Bremen	15	5	5	5	-1	20
11	Hansa Rostock	14	5	2	7	-7	17
12	Holstein Kiel	15	4	5	6	-9	17
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	4	4	7	-3	16
14	Dresden	15	5	1	9	-5	16
15	Erzgebirge Aue	15	3	5	7	-8	14
16	Hannover	15	3	5	7	-12	14
17	Sandhausen	15	3	3	9	-17	12
18	Ingolstadt	14	1	3	10	-22	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	7	7	0	0	+18	21
2	Darmstadt	7	6	0	1	+17	18
3	Regensburg	8	5	2	1	+10	17
4	Heidenheim	8	4	3	1	+2	15
5	Nurnberg	7	4	2	1	+7	14
6	Schalke 04	8	4	1	3	+6	13
7	Karlsruhe	8	3	3	2	+4	12
8	Dresden	7	4	0	3	+4	12
9	Hamburg	7	2	5	0	+4	11
10	Holstein Kiel	8	3	1	4	-6	10
11	Werder Bremen	7	2	3	2	+1	9
12	Paderborn	7	2	2	3	+0	8
13	Hannover	7	2	2	3	-3	8
14	Erzgebirge Aue	8	2	2	4	-4	8
15	Hansa Rostock	7	2	1	4	-5	7
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	1	3	3	-1	6
17	Ingolstadt	7	0	3	4	-8	3
18	Sandhausen	7	0	2	5	-12	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	7	5	2	0	+12	17
2	Schalke 04	7	4	1	2	+3	13
3	Hamburg	7	3	3	1	+4	12
4	Darmstadt	8	3	2	3	+3	11
5	Regensburg	7	3	2	2	+3	11
6	Werder Bremen	8	3	2	3	-2	11
7	Nurnberg	7	2	4	1	+0	10
8	Hansa Rostock	7	3	1	3	-2	10
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	3	1	4	-2	10
10	Sandhausen	8	3	1	4	-5	10
11	Karlsruhe	7	2	3	2	+0	9
12	Heidenheim	7	3	0	4	-6	9
13	St Pauli	7	2	2	3	-3	8
14	Holstein Kiel	7	1	4	2	-3	7
15	Erzgebirge Aue	7	1	3	3	-4	6
16	Hannover	8	1	3	4	-9	6
17	Dresden	8	1	1	6	-9	4
18	Ingolstadt	7	1	0	6	-14	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.