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Pro League
Referee: L Visser
Genk
S T S U T
2–3
Full-time
Club Brugge
U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Club Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,8
2,5
Scored
2,5
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 14/12 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
64%
67%
Both score Ø 66%
64%
67%
Average goals
3,6
3,3
Scored
2,2
1,9
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
13 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Genk 4. · Club Brugge 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 14 11 1 2 +26 34
2 Anderlecht 14 7 6 1 +16 27
3 Kortrijk 17 6 7 4 +3 25
4 Genk 14 7 3 4 +11 24
5 Charleroi 14 6 5 3 +7 23
6 Antwerp 13 7 2 4 +6 23
7 Mechelen 15 7 2 6 -1 23
8 Standard 16 6 5 5 -5 23
9 Club Brugge 12 6 4 2 +6 22
10 Eupen 17 6 4 7 +1 22
11 St Truiden 17 6 3 8 -8 21
12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 17 4 8 5 -6 20
13 Oostende 16 6 2 8 -12 20
14 Seraing 16 6 1 9 -7 19
15 Seraing United 16 6 1 9 -7 19
16 Gent 13 4 4 5 +3 16
17 Waregem 16 3 5 8 -16 14
18 Cercle Brugge 17 3 4 10 -7 13
19 Beerschot VA 16 3 3 10 -10 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Club Brugge
14′
🟨 Ignace Van der Brempt
33′
🟨 Eduard Sobol
35′
H. Vanaken 0–1
N. Lang
42′
🟨 Ignace Van der Brempt
42′
🟥 Ignace Van der Brempt
Half-time 1–1
1–1 P. Hrošovský
49′
59′
🔁 F. Ricca
↦ E. Sobol
71′
🔁 R. Vormer
↦ É. Balanta
2–1 P. Hrošovský
G. Arteaga
72′
B. Heynen 🔁
↦ M. Trésor
74′
78′
N. Lang 2–2
C. De Ketelaere
D. Muñoz 🔁
↦ Á. Preciado
80′
82′
F. Ricca 2–3
R. Vormer
Theo Bongonda 🟨
86′
J. Paintsil 🔁
↦ Mujaid Sadick
86′
93′
🔁 B. Dost
↦ N. Lang
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Genk

4-2-3-1
26 M. Vandevoordt G
33 J. Lucumí D
77 Á. Preciado D
5 G. Arteaga D
3 Mujaid Sadick D
17 P. Hrošovský M
11 M. Trésor M
42 K. Thorstvedt M
10 T. Bongonda M
21 I. Ugbo F
7 J. Ito M
Bench (7)
8 B. Heynen
23 D. Muñoz
28 J. Paintsil
40 T. Leysen
24 L. Oyen
2 M. McKenzie
14 B. Toma

Coach: J. van den Brom

Club Brugge

4-3-3
22 S. Mignolet G
2 E. Sobol D
77 Clinton Mata D
44 B. Mechele D
5 J. Hendry D
28 I. Van der Brempt F
26 M. Rits M
20 H. Vanaken M
3 É. Balanta M
90 C. De Ketelaere F
10 N. Lang F
Bench (7)
18 F. Ricca
25 R. Vormer
29 B. Dost
72 N. Mbamba-Muanda
19 K. Sowah
4 S. N'Soki
91 S. Lammens

Coach: P. Clement

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,90
U
3,67
B ✓
2,24
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,54
U2,5
2,42
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Visser · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.