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Eredivisie

Referee: M van den Kerkhof

Utrecht

S T S S T

1–0

Full-time

Heracles

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Heracles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,2

2,8

Scored

2,5

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 46%

58%

33%

Points per game

1,9

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

75%

42%

Both score Ø 54%

58%

50%

Average goals

3,4

2,6

Scored

2,3

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%

22 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 0

8 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 7

9 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Utrecht 5. · Heracles 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	14	10	3	1	+41	33
2	PSV Eindhoven	13	10	0	3	+13	30
3	Feyenoord	12	9	1	2	+18	28
4	Cambuur	14	8	0	6	-3	24
5	Utrecht	12	7	2	3	+13	23
6	Twente	13	6	3	4	+2	21
7	Go Ahead Eagles	14	6	2	6	-5	20
8	Nijmegen	14	5	4	5	-3	19
9	Vitesse	12	6	1	5	-8	19
10	Willem II	14	5	3	6	-7	18
11	Heerenveen	12	5	2	5	-2	17
12	Groningen	14	4	5	5	-4	17
13	Heracles	12	4	2	6	-3	14
14	AZ Alkmaar	11	4	1	6	+2	13
15	Waalwijk	14	2	6	6	-8	12
16	Sparta Rotterdam	14	2	4	8	-10	10
17	For Sittard	13	2	3	8	-17	9
18	Zwolle	14	1	2	11	-19	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	6	0	1	+10	18
2	Ajax	7	5	1	1	+26	16
3	Utrecht	6	5	1	0	+15	16
4	Feyenoord	6	5	1	0	+11	16
5	Heracles	7	4	1	2	+2	13
6	Cambuur	7	4	0	3	+3	12
7	Go Ahead Eagles	7	4	0	3	+3	12
8	Twente	6	3	2	1	+3	11
9	AZ Alkmaar	5	3	1	1	+7	10
10	Willem II	7	3	1	3	-5	10
11	Heerenveen	6	3	0	3	-1	9
12	Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	+0	8
13	Groningen	6	1	4	1	+1	7
14	Waalwijk	7	2	1	4	-6	7
15	For Sittard	7	2	1	4	-11	7
16	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	3	4	-5	6
17	Zwolle	7	1	2	4	-4	5
18	Vitesse	5	1	1	3	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	5	2	0	+15	17
2	Vitesse	7	5	0	2	-2	15
3	Feyenoord	6	4	0	2	+7	12
4	PSV Eindhoven	6	4	0	2	+3	12
5	Cambuur	7	4	0	3	-6	12
6	Nijmegen	7	3	2	2	-3	11
7	Twente	7	3	1	3	-1	10
8	Groningen	8	3	1	4	-5	10
9	Heerenveen	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Willem II	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Go Ahead Eagles	7	2	2	3	-8	8
12	Utrecht	6	2	1	3	-2	7
13	Waalwijk	7	0	5	2	-2	5
14	Sparta Rotterdam	6	1	1	4	-5	4
15	AZ Alkmaar	6	1	0	5	-5	3
16	For Sittard	6	0	2	4	-6	2
17	Heracles	5	0	1	4	-5	1
18	Zwolle	7	0	0	7	-15	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.