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Ligue 1
Referee: A Gautier
Monaco
T S T U U
1–1
Full-time
Strasbourg
S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Strasbourg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 36%
36%
36%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
57%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
64%
Average goals
2,6
3,1
Scored
1,4
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
8 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Monaco 8. · Strasbourg 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 15 13 1 1 +20 40
2 Nice 15 8 3 4 +13 27
3 Rennes 14 7 4 3 +12 25
4 Lens 15 7 4 4 +7 25
5 Marseille 13 6 5 2 +8 23
6 Angers 15 5 7 3 +4 22
7 Strasbourg 14 5 4 5 +6 19
8 Monaco 14 5 4 5 +1 19
9 Montpellier 14 5 4 5 +0 19
10 Lyon 13 5 4 4 +0 19
11 Nantes 15 5 4 6 +0 19
12 Lille 15 4 6 5 -3 18
13 Brest 14 3 6 5 -1 15
14 Lorient 14 3 6 5 -8 15
15 Reims 14 2 7 5 -3 13
16 Bordeaux 14 2 7 5 -9 13
17 Troyes 14 3 4 7 -9 13
18 Clermont 14 3 4 7 -11 13
19 Metz 15 2 6 7 -13 12
20 St Etienne 15 2 6 7 -14 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,67
U ✓
4,07
B
4,91
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,83
U2,5 ✓
1,99
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Gautier · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.