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Super League

Referee: B Madden

PAOK

T S S T T

0–1

Full-time

Aris Thessalonikis

S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Aris Thessalonikis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,8

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

This season — Super League · 11/10 matches

Win Ø 53%

55%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

55%

50%

Both score Ø 48%

55%

40%

Average goals

3,1

2,4

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%

5 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 2

0 Offside 3

18 Free kicks against 21

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PAOK 5. · Aris Thessalonikis 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	11	9	2	0	+12	29
2	AEK	12	8	2	2	+11	26
3	Aris	11	6	2	3	+3	20
4	Giannina	12	5	4	3	+12	19
5	PAOK	11	6	1	4	+6	19
6	OFI Crete	12	4	7	1	+4	19
7	Aris Thessalonikis	10	5	2	3	+2	17
8	Panathinaikos	11	4	2	5	+7	14
9	Volos NFC	12	4	2	6	-4	14
10	Asteras Tripolis	11	3	4	4	+1	13
11	Ionikos	12	3	4	5	-5	13
12	Lamia	12	2	4	6	-5	10
13	Apollon	12	1	5	6	-13	8
14	Panetolikos	11	2	2	7	-14	8
15	Atromitos	12	1	3	8	-17	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	6	5	0	1	+8	15
2	Olympiakos	6	4	2	0	+6	14
3	Panathinaikos	5	3	1	1	+9	10
4	OFI Crete	6	2	3	1	+1	9
5	Ionikos	6	2	3	1	+1	9
6	Volos NFC	7	3	0	4	-1	9
7	Giannina	6	2	2	2	+2	8
8	Aris Thessalonikis	5	2	2	1	+0	8
9	Aris	5	2	2	1	+0	8
10	PAOK	5	2	1	2	+3	7
11	Asteras Tripolis	5	2	0	3	+1	6
12	Apollon	6	1	3	2	-2	6
13	Panetolikos	6	1	1	4	-4	4
14	Atromitos	6	1	1	4	-5	4
15	Lamia	6	0	2	4	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	5	5	0	0	+6	15
2	PAOK	6	4	0	2	+3	12
3	Aris	6	4	0	2	+3	12
4	Giannina	6	3	2	1	+10	11
5	AEK	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	OFI Crete	6	2	4	0	+3	10
7	Aris Thessalonikis	5	3	0	2	+2	9
8	Lamia	6	2	2	2	+0	8
9	Asteras Tripolis	6	1	4	1	+0	7
10	Volos NFC	5	1	2	2	-3	5
11	Panathinaikos	6	1	1	4	-2	4
12	Ionikos	6	1	1	4	-6	4
13	Panetolikos	5	1	1	3	-10	4
14	Apollon	6	0	2	4	-11	2
15	Atromitos	6	0	2	4	-12	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.