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Bundesliga
Referee: M Hameter
Hartberg
U U S T T
2–1
Full-time
LASK
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hartberg LASK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 24%
27%
20%
Points per game
1,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
40%
40%
Both score Ø 64%
67%
60%
Average goals
3,1
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%
6 Shots 21
4 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 11
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hartberg 9. · LASK 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 16 12 3 1 +24 39
2 Wolfsberger AC 16 8 3 5 +0 27
3 Sturm Graz 14 7 3 4 +8 24
4 A. Klagenfurt 16 5 7 4 +1 22
5 Ried 15 5 5 5 -10 20
6 SK Rapid 15 5 4 6 -1 19
7 Tirol 16 4 7 5 -4 19
8 Austria Vienna 15 3 8 4 +2 17
9 Hartberg 15 4 5 6 +0 17
10 Admira 16 3 6 7 -3 15
11 LASK 15 3 5 7 -4 14
12 Altach 15 3 4 8 -13 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hartberg LASK
Thomas Rotter 🟨
36′
38′
🟨 Florian Flecker
Half-time 0–0
Manfred Gollner 🟨
57′
S. Paintsil 🔁
↦ N. Niemann
66′
M. Steinwender 🔁
↦ M. Schantl
66′
67′
🔁 Hong Hyeon-seok
↦ T. Goiginger
Matija Horvat 🟨
68′
1–0 D. Tadić
J. Heil
71′
75′
🔁 A. Schmidt
↦ K. Nakamura
76′
🔁 Y. Letard
↦ F. Flecker
82′
🔁 A. Gruber
↦ P. Michorl
85′
M. Karamoko 1–1
2–1 D. Tadić
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Hartberg

4-2-3-1
1 R. Swete G
16 M. Sonnleitner D
5 M. Gollner D
31 T. Rotter D
8 M. Schantl D
23 T. Kainz M
77 D. Avdijaj M
28 J. Heil M
11 M. Horvat M
24 D. Tadić F
10 N. Niemann M
Bench (7)
30 S. Paintsil
12 M. Steinwender
19 J. Lemmerer
7 M. Lema
35 R. Sallinger
27 T. Kofler
6 P. Erhardt

Coach: K. Russ

LASK

4-2-3-1
1 A. Schlager G
19 M. Potzmann D
6 P. Wiesinger D
34 J. Boller D
25 J. Holland M
8 P. Michorl M
30 S. Horvath M
29 F. Flecker D
27 T. Goiginger M
38 K. Nakamura M
9 M. Karamoko F
Bench (7)
21 Hong Hyeon-seok
23 A. Schmidt
4 Y. Letard
17 A. Gruber
33 F. Luckeneder
14 H. Balić
36 T. Gebauer

Coach: A. Wieland

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Hameter · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.