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Serie A
Referee: D Chiffi
Roma
U S T T S
1–0
Full-time
Torino
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — Serie A · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 46%
54%
38%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
62%
46%
Both score Ø 50%
54%
46%
Average goals
2,9
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

32% Possession 68%
10 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 8
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 9
1 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Roma 5. · Torino 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 13 10 2 1 +19 32
2 Milan 14 10 2 2 +12 32
3 Inter 14 9 4 1 +19 31
4 Atalanta 14 8 4 2 +11 28
5 Roma 13 7 1 5 +8 22
6 Lazio 13 6 3 4 +4 21
7 Fiorentina 14 7 0 7 +2 21
8 Juventus 14 6 3 5 +2 21
9 Bologna 14 6 3 5 -4 21
10 Verona 14 5 4 5 +3 19
11 Empoli 14 6 1 7 -5 19
12 Sassuolo 14 5 3 6 +1 18
13 Torino 13 5 2 6 +4 17
14 Udinese 14 3 6 5 -4 15
15 Sampdoria 14 4 3 7 -6 15
16 Venezia 14 4 3 7 -9 15
17 Spezia 14 3 2 9 -17 11
18 Genoa 14 1 7 6 -9 10
19 Cagliari 14 1 5 8 -13 8
20 Salernitana 14 2 2 10 -18 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Roma Torino
Carles Pérez 🔁
↦ L. Pellegrini
15′
1–0 T. Abraham
H. Mkhitaryan
32′
Stephan El Shaarawy ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
41′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 D. Zima
↦ K. Djidji
54′
🟨 David Zima
76′
🔁 M. Pjaca
↦ D. Praet
77′
🔁 D. Baselli
↦ A. Buongiorno
77′
🔁 S. Zaza
↦ M. Vojvoda
79′
🔁 A. Sanabria
↦ A. Belotti
M. Viña 🔁
↦ S. El Shaarawy
88′
Roger Ibañez 🟨
91′
M. Kumbulla 🔁
↦ Carles Pérez
93′
Marash Kumbulla 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Roma

3-1-4-2
1 Rui Patrício G
6 C. Smalling D
2 R. Karsdorp M
23 G. Mancini D
3 Ibañez D
77 H. Mkhitaryan M
7 L. Pellegrini M
42 A. Diawara M
22 N. Zaniolo F
92 S. El Shaarawy M
9 T. Abraham F
Bench (12)
11 Carles Pérez
5 M. Viña
24 M. Kumbulla
87 Daniel Fuzato
64 F. Ohene-Gyan
55 E. Darboe
19 B. Reynolds
14 E. Shomurodov
59 N. Zalewski
21 Borja Mayoral
52 E. Bove
63 P. Boer

Coach: José Mourinho

Torino

3-4-2-1
32 V. Savić G
26 K. Djidji D
27 M. Vojvoda M
3 Bremer D
99 A. Buongiorno D
17 W. Singo M
22 D. Praet F
10 S. Lukić M
14 J. Brekalo F
4 T. Pobega M
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (12)
6 D. Zima
11 M. Pjaca
8 D. Baselli
7 S. Zaza
19 A. Sanabria
89 L. Gemello
1 E. Berisha
25 B. Kone
77 K. Linetty
88 T. Rincón
5 A. Izzo
34 O. Aina

Coach: I. Juric

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,71
U
3,98
B
4,69
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,78
U2,5 ✓
2,04
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Chiffi · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.