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Bundesliga
Referee: S Stegemann
Ein Frankfurt
T T U S S
2–1
Full-time
Union Berlin
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt Union Berlin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 34%
25%
42%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 71%
75%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
17 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
7 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
4 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 13. · Union Berlin 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 13 10 1 2 +29 31
2 Dortmund 13 10 0 3 +14 30
3 Freiburg 13 6 4 3 +6 22
4 Leverkusen 12 6 3 3 +8 21
5 Hoffenheim 13 6 2 5 +7 20
6 Union Berlin 12 5 5 2 +2 20
7 Wolfsburg 13 6 2 5 -2 20
8 RB Leipzig 12 5 3 4 +10 18
9 Mainz 13 5 3 5 +3 18
10 FC Koln 13 4 6 3 +0 18
11 M'gladbach 13 5 3 5 +0 18
12 Bochum 13 5 1 7 -8 16
13 Ein Frankfurt 12 3 6 3 -2 15
14 Hertha 13 4 2 7 -14 14
15 Stuttgart 13 3 4 6 -5 13
16 Augsburg 13 3 4 6 -10 13
17 Bielefeld 13 1 6 6 -10 9
18 Greuther Furth 13 0 1 12 -28 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ein Frankfurt Union Berlin
1–0 D. Sow
22′
39′
🟨 Grischa Prömel
Half-time 1–0
58′
🔁 J. Ryerson
↦ R. Khedira
58′
🔁 S. Becker
↦ G. Haraguchi
59′
🟨 Robin Knoche
62′
M. Kruse 1–1
Gonçalo Paciência 🔁
↦ R. Borré
68′
76′
🔁 L. Öztunali
↦ M. Kruse
76′
🔁 A. Voglsammer
↦ T. Awoniyi
R. Ache 🔁
↦ J. Lindstrøm
77′
90′
🔁 N. Gießelmann
↦ B. Oczipka
93′
🟨 Andreas Luthe
94′
🟨 Sheraldo Becker
2–1 O. N'Dicka
F. Kostić
95′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Ein Frankfurt

3-4-2-1
1 K. Trapp G
20 M. Hasebe D
22 T. Chandler M
2 O. N'Dicka D
35 Tuta D
10 F. Kostić M
8 D. Sow M
15 D. Kamada F
6 K. Jakić M
29 J. Lindstrøm F
19 R. Borré F
Bench (9)
39 Gonçalo Paciência
21 R. Ache
24 D. da Costa
17 S. Rode
13 M. Hinteregger
3 S. Ilsanker
23 J. Hauge
18 A. Touré
40 D. Ramaj

Coach: O. Glasner

Union Berlin

3-5-2
1 A. Luthe G
20 B. Oczipka M
28 C. Trimmel M
31 R. Knoche D
5 M. Friedrich D
25 T. Baumgartl D
24 G. Haraguchi M
8 R. Khedira M
21 G. Prömel M
10 M. Kruse F
14 T. Awoniyi F
Bench (9)
6 J. Ryerson
27 S. Becker
7 L. Öztunali
9 A. Voglsammer
23 N. Gießelmann
11 A. Ujah
19 F. Rønnow
3 P. Jaeckel
30 K. Möhwald

Coach: U. Fischer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,34
U
3,48
B
2,99
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,91
U2,5
1,90
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Stegemann · 140 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.