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Bundesliga

Referee: M Schüttengruber

Austria Vienna

U S U T U

2–1

Full-time

Sturm Graz

T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Austria Vienna Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

3,8

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 15/14 matches

Win Ø 35%

20%

50%

Points per game

1,1

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

33%

86%

Both score Ø 66%

60%

71%

Average goals

2,4

3,9

Scored

1,3

2,2

Conceded

1,1

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%

19 Shots 10

8 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Austria Vienna 8. · Sturm Graz 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	16	12	3	1	+24	39
2	Wolfsberger AC	16	8	3	5	+0	27
3	Sturm Graz	14	7	3	4	+8	24
4	A. Klagenfurt	16	5	7	4	+1	22
5	Ried	15	5	5	5	-10	20
6	SK Rapid	15	5	4	6	-1	19
7	Tirol	16	4	7	5	-4	19
8	Austria Vienna	15	3	8	4	+2	17
9	Hartberg	15	4	5	6	+0	17
10	Admira	16	3	6	7	-3	15
11	LASK	15	3	5	7	-4	14
12	Altach	15	3	4	8	-13	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	7	6	1	0	+16	19
2	SK Rapid	8	5	0	3	+5	15
3	Ried	7	4	3	0	+4	15
4	Sturm Graz	8	4	2	2	+4	14
5	A. Klagenfurt	8	3	5	0	+3	14
6	Wolfsberger AC	8	4	1	3	+1	13
7	Tirol	8	2	5	1	+4	11
8	Admira	8	2	2	4	+2	8
9	Austria Vienna	7	1	5	1	+2	8
10	LASK	8	2	2	4	-1	8
11	Hartberg	7	1	2	4	-4	5
12	Altach	8	1	2	5	-10	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	9	6	2	1	+8	20
2	Wolfsberger AC	8	4	2	2	-1	14
3	Hartberg	8	3	3	2	+4	12
4	Sturm Graz	6	3	1	2	+4	10
5	Austria Vienna	8	2	3	3	+0	9
6	A. Klagenfurt	8	2	2	4	-2	8
7	Altach	7	2	2	3	-3	8
8	Tirol	8	2	2	4	-8	8
9	Admira	8	1	4	3	-5	7
10	LASK	7	1	3	3	-3	6
11	Ried	8	1	2	5	-14	5
12	SK Rapid	7	0	4	3	-6	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.