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2. Bundesliga
Karlsruhe
S S S T T
1–2
Full-time
Hamburg
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karlsruhe Hamburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 50%
42%
58%
Points per game
1,3
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
58%
75%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,9
3,4
Scored
1,5
2,1
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

12 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 5
5 Corners 7
15 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karlsruhe 14. · Hamburg 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Holstein Kiel 13 8 4 1 +11 28
2 Greuther Furth 13 7 3 3 +10 24
3 Bochum 13 7 2 4 +10 23
4 Hamburg 12 7 2 3 +9 23
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 13 7 2 4 +1 23
6 Erzgebirge Aue 13 5 4 4 +5 19
7 Nurnberg 13 5 4 4 +4 19
8 Heidenheim 13 5 4 4 +1 19
9 Osnabruck 13 5 4 4 -1 19
10 Darmstadt 13 5 3 5 +2 18
11 Paderborn 13 5 3 5 +2 18
12 Hannover 13 5 2 6 +1 17
13 Regensburg 13 4 5 4 +0 17
14 Karlsruhe 12 5 1 6 +1 16
15 Braunschweig 13 3 3 7 -16 12
16 Sandhausen 13 3 2 8 -15 11
17 St Pauli 12 1 5 6 -9 8
18 Wurzburger Kickers 12 1 1 10 -16 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,27
U
3,53
B ✓
2,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,72
U2,5
2,08
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.